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每周播报-澳洲房产市场周度报告-PR DATA
以前期请参考此贴:
澳洲房产市场周度报告-PR DATA 4月第一。二期:
http://www.oursteps.com.au/bbs/viewthread.php?tid=91901&extra=page%3D1
Properties currently listed for sale
房产挂牌销售情况
The total number of residential properties in the Australian market is continuing its upward trend. There are currently 147,000 properties for sale on the Australian mainland; 68,000 or 55% more than the same week last year. The rising levels of supply are a bi-product of the high number of new listings entering the market and deteriorating levels of market sentiment. With market confidence ebbing, properties are generally taking longer to sell and vendors have to change their expectations on sale price.
房产挂牌数量持续上升. 现在有147,000房产在市场销售, 比去年同期上升55%. 市场供应上升,究其原因是新进入市场房产增加和已在市场销售的房产未能售出的双重作用. 由于市场信心下降, 现今房屋销售比以前需要更长时间,同时卖家也要同时降低对销售价格的预期.
Properties in Perth and Darwin are taking the longest to sell, with the average days on market in these two cities now at 85 days and 76 days respectively. At the other end of the spectrum, Adelaide and Brisbane properties are averaging just 29 and 24 days to sell.
在PERTH和达尔文的房产是销售时间最长的市场, 平均停留85和76天. 而在阿德雷德和布里斯班市却只用平均29天和24天.
High CPI figures prompt rate rise speculation
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高通胀压力 |
Consumer prices rose by 4.2% over the year to March 08 indicating further action may be taken by the RBA when they next meet to discuss interest rates on May 6 消费物价指数在08年3月期又超过了4.2%, 央储有可能在5月6日会议讨论再次提高利率的可能性
The March quarter Consumer Price Index (CPI) figures released earlier this week caught many economists off guard, returning a higher level of growth in domestic prices than most expected. Prices rose by 4.2% over the year bringing inflation well above the Reserve Bank’s target range of 2 to 3%. Apart from the introduction of GST, inflation has not been this high since 1995.
The rising costs associated with housing were one of the primary contributors to the larger than expected increase in CPI. The costs of housing, which includes the costs of purchasing and renting a home as well as utilities, rates and repairs/maintenance, increased by 5.7% over the year. The only other categories to record a larger increase in prices were the financial and insurance services sector and transportation; not surprising given the higher costs associated with lending and ongoing increases in fuel prices.
The latest CPI figures are important to the housing market because of their importance to the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) when making decisions about interest rates. The Reserve Bank aims to maintain inflation between 2 and 3%. When inflation is above this ‘target range’, interest rates are more likely to rise in an effort to curb demand.
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Recent statements from the RBA had given mortgage holders reason to feel optimistic that rates will stay on hold, or even come down. The minutes of the last monetary policy meeting suggested the RBA were expecting a faster fall in inflation than previously expected. The RBA Governor Glen Stevens said earlier this month that there is some evidence that a moderation in demand is occurring. The unexpected jump in CPI means any fall in interest rates this year is a remote chance at best. The likelihood of a further rate rise has now become a real possibility.
The net effect on the property market will certainly not be positive. The latest CPI figures add fuel to the fire of uncertainty that has stymied the property market during 2008. Buyers are already becoming increasingly reluctant to make a purchase decision due to the possibility of further rate rises. Even if rates stay on hold after the Reserve Bank’s next meeting on Tuesday May 6th, the possibility of further rate rises later in the year are very real.  For those property owners who are considering selling, it would be a good idea to hold off if possible. There are a lot of properties listed for sale and fewer buyers in the market. Those buyers that are willing and able to purchase now have the luxury of time on their side, which means more negotiation, higher levels of discounting and longer selling times. Selling a property now is likely to result in a less than optimum sale price.
On the flip side, the time to buy may be ripe. We can expect the savvy investor to be on the prowl and owner occupiers who have their finances in order may also be stepping up to the plate. Times like these can be rich pickings for knowledgeable buyers who have the financial clout not to be deterred by further rate rises. These buyers will be making low offers and will be largely inflexible in their negotiations. The primary target will be properties that have been up for sale for more than two months or distressed sales.
Forced sales are likely to show a further increase during 2008. Those mortgage holders who have been holding out for a rate fall will be bitterly disappointed. Instead, they will be looking at steady or rising rates most likely into the next year. Many will be unable to withstand the sustained financial pressures.
[ 本帖最后由 applenet 于 2008-4-26 22:49 编辑 ] |
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选校---小学新生家长作的一点功课 (2012-11-5) ayeeda 
发表于 2008-4-26 23:27
