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[个股讨论] CCP今天是个进点!(包括AMM讨论) [复制链接]

发表于 2013-3-14 11:02 |显示全部楼层
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本帖最后由 richbb 于 2013-3-20 01:06 编辑

CCP跌了好几天,今天是个机会!

容后有时间贴上此股分析!

PS:本人今日购入$8.55,特声明!
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发表于 2013-3-14 13:08 |显示全部楼层
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CCP———Credit Corp是专门以极低价从银行买坏账,然后到欠债人那里讨债。公司业务与Collection House(CLH)相似。以今天的8.60价格,它的PE为13.94,Div Yield 3.8%(100%F)。

Total Shareholder Return (avg annual rate)
1yr                  3yr                  5yr                   10yr
54.2%        53.6%        62.7%        31.8%

它的股价呈上升趋势:



今天收市如能在8.56或以上,可望短期里有较大的利润空间。

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发表于 2013-3-14 14:00 |显示全部楼层
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冒昧一句,感觉没有跌到底。

发表于 2013-3-14 14:22 |显示全部楼层
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candleman 发表于 2013-3-14 15:00
冒昧一句,感觉没有跌到底。

看今天是不是收在开市价8.56,或者以上,从Candlesticks看,这形成了doji star,是个比较可靠的转向信号!
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发表于 2013-3-14 15:00 |显示全部楼层
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richbb 发表于 2013-3-14 15:22
看今天是不是收在开市价8.56,或者以上,从Candlesticks看,这形成了doji star,是个比较可靠的转向信号 ...

感觉还有低点,只能说是接近底部,8.2或以下买入更安全。

发表于 2013-3-14 15:13 |显示全部楼层
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candleman 发表于 2013-3-14 16:00
感觉还有低点,只能说是接近底部,8.2或以下买入更安全。

Good luck to you。You may have chance to get what u‘d like to,but trading is an art, not a science. For such strong up trend share as CCP,the chance of recovering of uptrend is quite big.
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发表于 2013-3-14 15:35 |显示全部楼层
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richbb 发表于 2013-3-14 16:13
Good luck to you。You may have chance to get what u‘d like to,but trading is an art, not a scie ...

我个人只是觉得如果能回调到8.2买入更安全,非专业人士分析,博君一笑。这样的大盘股也不是我的菜,真要是跌到了我也不会买的。如有得罪,下次你发帖我绕路就是了。

发表于 2013-3-14 15:55 |显示全部楼层
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candleman 发表于 2013-3-14 16:35
我个人只是觉得如果能回调到8.2买入更安全,非专业人士分析,博君一笑。这样的大盘股也不是我的菜,真要 ...

Hi, 朋友你太敏感啦,本来我们大家都是相互切磋的,没有谁对谁错的问题,只有那种可能性可能会大点。成功的投资人一个最大的素质是always keep open mind!这正是本人一直努力的方向。

前面的回复如有得罪,还请原谅!
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发表于 2013-3-14 16:46 |显示全部楼层
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图形很漂亮。但是不建议接掉下来的匕首,虽然掉下来的也可能是黄金。

发表于 2013-3-14 20:14 |显示全部楼层
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楼主别忘了更新啊,我看好你

发表于 2013-3-14 20:23 |显示全部楼层
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johnnnnny 发表于 2013-3-14 21:14
楼主别忘了更新啊,我看好你

那是一定的,今天收市比我想象的要好!

此法对我有相当的成功率。但还是一句老话:止损是重中之重!
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发表于 2013-3-15 08:16 |显示全部楼层
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richbb 发表于 2013-3-14 20:23
那是一定的,今天收市比我想象的要好!

此法对我有相当的成功率。但还是一句老话:止损是重中之重! ...

楼主,请教您几个问题行不?我不是搞金融的,不懂!

蛮烦您移驾我的贴,行吗?

http://www.oursteps.com.au/bbs/f ... &extra=page%3D1

发表于 2013-3-15 12:32 |显示全部楼层
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发表于 2013-3-15 14:35 |显示全部楼层
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CCP今天的表现并不炸底,小涨5分,在开市价徘徊,收市如能守住8.75,再给它一天时间,周一再出掉。今天最高到8.88,low到8.58,like 哟哟!

今天Holding有不错的收获,AMM再创intra day 新高1.805,ccv也开低走高。
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发表于 2013-3-15 14:40 |显示全部楼层
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Can AMM close over 1.805?

发表于 2013-3-15 14:47 |显示全部楼层
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AMM$1.8再进一万!
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发表于 2013-3-15 15:06 |显示全部楼层
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本帖最后由 richbb 于 2013-3-15 16:09 编辑

等收市!!!

AMM match price 1.80? CCP Match8.96???

发表于 2013-3-15 15:12 |显示全部楼层
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好!CCP收在8.90,今天从未到过的价格,收的很满意,但愿周一再涨点!

发表于 2013-3-15 17:54 |显示全部楼层
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richbb 发表于 2013-3-15 15:12
好!CCP收在8.90,今天从未到过的价格,收的很满意,但愿周一再涨点!

If I was to buy any of those two, today's close would be my trigger to buy the next day;
While yours are 1-2 days ahead, very well done!





发表于 2013-3-16 06:01 |显示全部楼层
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richbb 发表于 2013-3-15 16:12
好!CCP收在8.90,今天从未到过的价格,收的很满意,但愿周一再涨点!

楼主干嘛那么着急出货,我8.62进去的,我还打算复活节前才出货呢。

发表于 2013-3-16 13:45 |显示全部楼层
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xiaoha 发表于 2013-3-16 07:01
楼主干嘛那么着急出货,我8.62进去的,我还打算复活节前才出货呢。

情况不同,手上现有的股票似乎都表现不错,不想去交换。CCP下周表现好的话,应该可以作为Portfolio的一分子。

今早拿到的最新一期Smart Investor刚好有介绍这个股:Page 59:

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发表于 2013-3-16 23:13 |显示全部楼层
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还以为是咱伟大的党.

发表于 2013-3-17 06:31 |显示全部楼层
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sweetpotato 发表于 2013-3-17 00:13
还以为是咱伟大的党.

哈哈

发表于 2013-3-17 11:14 |显示全部楼层
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richbb 发表于 2013-3-15 15:47
AMM$1.8再进一万!

AMM怎么看都像出货,1.8还追进?找骂的来了,真心不懂啊!:o

发表于 2013-3-17 23:09 |显示全部楼层
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candleman 发表于 2013-3-17 12:14
AMM怎么看都像出货,1.8还追进?找骂的来了,真心不懂啊!

这个问题提得好!看来你还没有学过炒股如何追高的手法。如果一个强势股不断推高,在创了一次新高后,还会多次创新高的概率很高。拿AMM来说,它现在是10年新高,非常强势,典型的增长股,短炒的好对象。如果周一继续冲高,估计可升至1.95,当然,如果我错了,我的Exit是1.75,损失500+brokage,这是我能承受的!

关于追高,这里引用一篇文章:

Buy High, Sell Much Higher
http://www.investopedia.com/arti ... h.asp#axzz2NniOgorm

February 26 2009| Filed Under » Beginning Investor
One of the tenets of stock investing that the average investor, as well as the sophisticated day trader, has heard repeatedly is "buy low, sell high". Sounds like a reasonable approach to investing, right?

Unfortunately, it is much more difficult than it seems. This is partly because some rookie investors may equate stock investing with shopping at the mall. If a cashmere sweater costs $250 in December but has been marked down to $50 in July, then it must be a good deal, or have some type of value. Maybe so, but stocks are different. If the price of a stock over the last year or so has ranged from $24 to $60 a share and it's currently trading at around $26, it appears to be cheap - so, it's a good value, right?

Try Currency Trading Risk-Free at FOREX.com  
Not so fast! Buying stocks that are near or at yearly lows may actually add risk to your portfolio, rather than reduce it.

Why Lows May Not Be a "Deal"
Beaten down stocks may never recoup their losses or it may take a very long time for the stock to recover its highs. For example, technology stocks such as Juniper Networks (Nasdaq:JNPR) and Yahoo! (Nasdaq:YHOO) soared during the technology bubble in 2000 - and crashed when it burst. By 2008, these companies had yet to recover to their pre-bubble values.

The opportunity costs of holding the stock increases over time - if the stock doesn't recover relatively quick enough.

Picking the bottom in a stock is very difficult for individual investors. Many investors are lured into a false sense of security when buying beaten down companies, only to be disappointed as the stock continues to fall.

You are betting against the Wall Street conventional wisdom when you purchase a stock that is out of favor. In other words, the stock is cheap for a reason: managers of big money do not see the future value in the company at so-called "cheap" prices. In a sense, they are willing to wait for much lower prices before buying the stock.
A Different Spin on the Buy Low, Sell High Strategy
Some investors may want to adjust their strategies to "buy high, sell higher". That's not a typo. Many traders wisely look for stocks that are near their yearly highs and are in strong industries. There are many resources on the internet that allow the average investor to easily find a list of the strongest stocks and the best sectors. However, it should be noted that it is not a good idea to blindly buy stocks off of the new high list. (For more insight, read The 5 Biggest Stock Market Myths.)

Consider these reasons for buying relatively expensive stocks:
You are buying a stock that is trending upward, not downward. You are not hoping or waiting on a turnaround story or a buyout. Chances are, your stock has proved its value before you buy it. (For more, see Riding The Momentum Investing Wave.)

A stock at or near its high is working with Wall Street money instead of fighting it. And, institutional money moves stocks. Unfortunately, retail buying and selling are not significant market events. Aligning your investments with money managers who manage billions of dollars may reduce the risk that you'll lose a lot of your own money.
Cheap stocks tend to trade less frequently. If you own a stock that trades lightly, chances are you may have difficulty finding a lot of buyers at your desired price(s). Stocks that lack volume also lack institutional support. And, as stated above, it's the institutional money that determines stock prices on Wall Street.

Making any investment decision solely based on one indicator is not a good strategy. As you find these uptrending stocks in leading industries, one strategy may be to wait for a minor correction of 8-12% before pulling the trigger. This will mitigate the risk of "buying at the top" and therefore provide some cushion for any potential losses that you may incur.

Let's take a look at a well-known company's stock chart over the last few years. In Figure 1, Exxon Mobil (NYSE:XOM) shows a long-term uptrend starting around October of 2006. The oil and gas sectors have been market leaders over this period. On the graph, each circle on the trendline represents buying opportunities along the way. Value investors may have been reluctant to purchase XOM at around $70 per share in early 2007 because at that time, this was near Exxon's all-time high. However, buyers of this stock were rewarded as the shares continued to rise.


Figure 1
Source: StockCharts.com

Conclusion
Some inexpensive stocks are actually true value plays and buying them will result in substantial gains. However, buying cheap stocks is not a risk-free strategy. In fact, your risk of losing money may actually increase over time as the stock loses value or fails to appreciate to your expectations. Consider buying strength, and get in on relatively expensive stocks. The risks are not as great as they appear and the potential for upside is consistently better than bottom fishing for inexpensive stocks.
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发表于 2013-3-18 06:06 |显示全部楼层
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你们二位大师多讨论讨论,我们菜鸟多学习学习。
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发表于 2013-3-18 10:25 |显示全部楼层
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AMM靠什么成长性这么好?是做business数据业务,还是Cloud?这公司以前没接触过。
CCP似乎到头了吧,一个收债的公司最近涨的也太快了吧

发表于 2013-3-18 11:13 |显示全部楼层
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chenzy0513 发表于 2013-3-18 11:25
AMM靠什么成长性这么好?是做business数据业务,还是Cloud?这公司以前没接触过。
CCP似乎到头了吧,一个收 ...

AMM Business Summary

Amcom Telecommunications Limited (AMM) is an IT and Telecommunications company providing Information, Communication and Technology needs of business and government across Australia. AMM’s product set includes national data network access delivering business grade data and internet services, business class IP voice, cloud solutions and managed services.
Data Networks Division: Data networks (fibre) division provides a range of high speed products to blue chip corporates, government agencies and other telecommunication providers through the company’s fibre network covering the CBD and greater metropolitan areas of Perth, Adelaide, Darwin and network nodes in all main capital cities across Australia.
Amnet Division: Amnet division provides a comprehensive range of communications products focused principally on broadband services.
Business Services: The Business Services division offers Cloud Services, L7 Solutions, and IP telephony. On IP telephony, the company provides converged voice, video and data solutions to customers across the country.
-- --
-- --
Company Strategy
AMM´s organic growth strategy is focused on client acquisition for its fibre network and the uptake of additional products from existing clients. Bolt-on acquisitions, similar to the acquisition of BlueFire and L7 Solutions will strengthen its product range and services offered. Management will take a wait and see approach for Amnet given the uncertainty over the retail broadband market. Amcom Telecommunications reported NPAT up 50% to $25.85m for the year ended 30 June 2011. Revenues from ordinary activities were $87.19m, up 38% from last year. Diluted EPS was 3.55 cents compared to 2.70 cents last year. Net operating cash flow was $28.67m compared to $20.97m last year. The final dividend declared was 1 cent, taking the full year dividend to 1.6 cents compared with 1.4 cents last year.
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发表于 2013-3-18 11:15 |显示全部楼层
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AMM终于回到了昨天的1.80,能守的住吗?

发表于 2013-3-18 15:35 |显示全部楼层
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Updated: CCP out at close, small profit,  AMM hold for tomorrow!

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