Omicron个人想法。

enhuichang

根据病毒进化方向，传播率高，致病率低，也有南非医生说症状是mild的。

个人觉得这两周是加仓美国大科技的最好机会。

Young people, in their 20s to just over their late 30s, are coming in with moderate to severe disease, some needing intensive care. About 65% are not vaccinated and most of the rest are only half-vaccinated,” said Mathivha.

About 65% are not vaccinated and most of the rest are only half-vaccinated,”

这个帖子有可能被挖坟

bjcxyd

买点啥呢

土豆花生

新闻要小心看的，很多新闻是带风向的。

南非医生说的是：年轻人中到重症患者大幅增加，医疗资源快撑不住了。
South Africa's hospitals see rise in younger Covid patients

The number of confirmed Omicron Covid cases in South Africa is still relatively low, with 2,828 new confirmed cases recorded on Friday, but its speed in infecting young people in the country has alarmed health professionals, the Associated Press reports.

“We’re seeing a marked change in the demographic profile of patients with Covid-19,” Rudo Mathivha, head of the intensive care unit at Soweto’s Baragwanath hospital, told an online press briefing.

“Young people, in their 20s to just over their late 30s, are coming in with moderate to severe disease, some needing intensive care. About 65% are not vaccinated and most of the rest are only half-vaccinated,” said Mathivha.

“I’m worried that as the numbers go up, the public health care facilities will become overwhelmed.”

She said urgent preparations are needed to enable public hospitals to cope with a potential large influx of patients needing intensive care.

Diagnostic tests so far indicate the Omicron variant may be responsible for as many as 90% of the new cases, according to South Africa’s health officials.

Early studies show that it has a reproduction rate of 2 — meaning that every person infected by it is likely to spread it to two other people.

benny2002

现在加仓就像赌博，当然，有赌徒精神的算我没说。

txyz

土豆花生 发表于 2021-11-28 12:48
新闻要小心看的，很多新闻是带风向的。

南非医生说的是：年轻人中到重症患者大幅增加，医疗资源快撑不住了 ...

汗，20，30多岁的年轻人重症，传染率2，病毒真的是鸟枪换炮了

goldenseiya

那个发言的是官僚，不可信

rockbox

先看看柜子里草纸够不够……

CalmDownOK

加什么？

enhuichang

土豆花生 发表于 2021-11-28 12:48
新闻要小心看的，很多新闻是带风向的。

南非医生说的是：年轻人中到重症患者大幅增加，医疗资源快撑不住了 ...

“Young people, in their 20s to just over their late 30s, are coming in with moderate to severe disease, some needing intensive care. About 65% are not vaccinated and most of the rest are only half-vaccinated,” said Mathivha.

About 65% are not vaccinated and most of the rest are only half-vaccinated,”
应该能说明疫苗有效吧

scavenger

同意楼主。
无论从变异本身对公共卫生方面的影响，人们对变异心理的适应程度，再加上疫苗的接种率方面，每次变异的影响都应该比上一次少一些。

jiang0715

反正美帝最想降的油价是跌了

enhuichang

jiang0715 发表于 2021-11-28 13:19
反正美帝最想降的油价是跌了

通胀如果能适当降下来，Tapper就没那么急迫了，美联储扭扭捏捏是实在不想tapper的，

土豆花生

enhuichang 发表于 2021-11-28 13:14
“Young people, in their 20s to just over their late 30s, are coming in with moderate to severe di ...

英国已经认证新款变种可以在已打2针疫苗的人群里传播。

UK Prime Minister on early Omicron signs
While, Scott Morrison and Greg Hunt are speaking about the Omicron variant potentially not causing as serious an illness as other variants, Boris Johnson had this to say.

"Our scientists are learning more hour by hour, and it does appear that Omicron spreads very rapidly, and can be spread between people who are double vaccinated.

"There is also a very extensive mutation which means it diverges quite significantly from previous configurations of the virus, and as result, it might — at least in part — reduce the protection of our vaccines over time."

Once again, it's very early and we really do have to wait and see on things like how transmissable it is, how effective current vaccines will be, and how sick it can make us.

huang89

我觉得有些股减仓或全退是必须的。
加仓也不是不行，但得是你有把握，看得准的。

其他，就算了吧。

enhuichang

土豆花生 发表于 2021-11-28 13:23
英国已经认证新款变种可以在已打2针疫苗的人群里传播。

UK Prime Minister on early Omicron signs

我觉得还是遵循病毒进化的基本规律。传播更快、更广，致病率应该是下降的。

While, Scott Morrison and Greg Hunt are speaking about the Omicron variant potentially not causing as serious an illness as other variants, Boris Johnson had this to say.

水月境天

一般传播力很高的病毒，致死率会比较低。
要不然宿主都死了。病毒就没了。
等着学习新知识。。

土豆花生

enhuichang 发表于 2021-11-28 13:33
我觉得还是遵循病毒进化的基本规律。传播更快、更广，致病率应该是下降的。

While, Scott Morrison and  ...

我的生物学的不好，不知道这条基本规律是哪里来的，我印象里变种Delta的致病率更高。

我对未来的预计是：后面不管出什么变种，都不会再封城了，也就因此不需要发疫情救济金了，老百姓不许在家躺平都要出去干活，是死是活全靠自然选择，优胜劣汰，适者生存。

Goodkeep

scavenger 发表于 2021-11-28 13:16
同意楼主。
无论从变异本身对公共卫生方面的影响，人们对变异心理的适应程度，再加上疫苗的接种率方面，每 ...

狼来了喊第一次你会跑 第二次会想想再跑 等到了第十次还会有多少人会跑

ococococ

土豆花生 发表于 2021-11-28 12:38
我的生物学的不好，不知道这条基本规律是哪里来的，我印象里变种Delta的致病率更高。

我对未来的预计是 ...

Lockdown政策要不要实施不是看喊几次狼来了，而是看现有的医疗设备是否能承受重病患者的数量。如果新病毒引起的症状不明显，就会继续开放，如果重症很多，医院料资源跟不上了，就只能再封。所以现在关键看疫苗有效率，也就是重症率。

dodo_sha

借机发挥，淋漓尽致，不可恋战，明年再看

cjq

啥都能扯到股票上去，也是服了

whzopecc

重症率应该只是衡量病毒的一个因素，而且我觉得是个次要的因素，主要因素应该还是看传染率高不高，今年即使在Delta泛滥、NSW每天新增病例1000多的时候，住院治疗的人数也就1000多不到2000人，大多数人还是呆在家里隔离治疗，说明重症率不高。
但如果传染率很高的话，重症病人人数自然就会上升，会对医疗系统造成很大压力，到时候不但政府受不了，民众也会很恐慌。