晕倒，过去三个月阿德莱德的房价还是涨了10%

cooldog

看了周六的报纸，市场太疯狂了

masakiwangjun

很多人都迁移了。自然也会稍有上涨。

zigzag

你的数据哪里来的？ 大大的不对。应该是 －2.3％

http://wic003lc.server-web.com/~ ... 0stats%20Sept08.pdf

cooldog

周六的advertiser啊

villa

http://www.news.com.au/adelaidenow/story/0,22606,24448494-5012798,00.html



Bank crisis hits Adelaide house values



October 05, 2008 12:15am  Article from: Sunday Mail (SA)


ADELAIDE property prices have taken a hit from the global financial crisis with latest data showing house values have fallen 2.36 per cent in three months.

The news is worse for home owners in the outer suburbs, which have seen prices drop up to 10 per cent, according to the Real Estate Institute of SA.

And the ongoing credit crunch in world financial markets has led to a warning further falls can be expected before the end of the year.

The average price fall in the three months to August was the biggest drop for this quarter since 2001, according to real estate analyst RP Data.

The company's research director Tim Lawless said a drop in property values was "a rarity for the Adelaide market".

"It would be no surprise if values fell further in Adelaide over the coming months," he said.

Mr Lawless blamed the global credit crisis, which has sent stock markets crashing, for the lack of demand in the real estate market. "Banks have been tightening their purses and lending less, which means fewer buyers in the market and even those people who could get a loan don't have the confidence to take one out," Mr Lawless said.

The figures come as Adelaide recorded one of its slowest auction weekends in years, according to figures from Australian Property Monitors (www.homepriceguide.com.au).

Just one home sold at auction of the eight listed yesterday, compared to 44 sold of the 63 listed this time a year ago.

Other capital cities also saw less auction action - Sydney had 58 sold of 147 listed compared with 189 sold of 313 listed a year earlier, while Melbourne saw 142 sold of 488 listed compared with 539 sold of 804 listed a year earlier.

Real Estate Institute of SA president Robin Turner said anecdotal evidence showed outer suburbs had suffered price falls up to 10 per cent in recent months.

"I suspect there is some truth to these (RP Data) figures," Mr Turner said. "We are seeing two markets at the moment - outer lying suburbs have been marked back in price around 8 to 10 per cent but those closer to the city haven't experienced much of a price change."

Mr Turner expects to see little variations in values over the next six months as potential buyers will be "marking time" due to the credit crisis.

While most economists expect the Reserve Bank of Australia to cut official interest rates by .5 per cent at its Tuesday meeting the National Australia Bank has warned not all the savings will be passed on to mortgagees.

NAB chief economist Alan Oster said borrowers could expect "a bit more than half" of a .5 rate cut would be passed on because banks were facing higher borrowing costs due to the credit crisis.

"But we expect further rate cuts up to 1.5 per cent between now and March or April next year," he said.

Real estate agent Anthony Toop said a rate cut on Tuesday could reverse "the price slip of the past six months".

loushenghong

Adeliade是unique的。

他们那里现在商业移民狂多，因为去哪里要求低很多。无论买生意，租房子，都很紧张。

villa

Housing costs limiting growth


October 12, 2008 11:30pm  Article from:   The Advertiser

THE global credit crisis is conspiring to keep residential investors away from the market.

South Australia's Valuer General announced this weekend that Adelaide's median house price dropped 2.17 per cent to $361,000 in the September quarter.

While cheaper housing would normally attract buyers to a sector, KPMG partner Steve Gatt said residential investment remained ``a major conundrum''.

``We've got 300,000 people coming to Australia every year and we've got continuing declines in the average number of people per household,'' he said.

``The banks are asking the developers to get pre-sales sufficient to cover construction funding, but no one is willing to pre-commit, so there is no new stock being delivered to the market.

``Demand's going up, supply's coming down and, as a result, rents are going up. Normally you'd associate rents going up with property prices going up - investors will start coming to the market - but that's not happening because we still have a problem with affordability.

``Until that affordability index gets back to normalised levels and developers can actually start achieving pre-sales to satisfy the banks - and the banks no longer have their liquidity problems - that's when the residential conundrum will be able to get back into equilibrium and start to deliver
to the market.''

The warning comes after Friday's historic share plunge. KPMG banking head Andrew Dickinson said shares would continue their downward fall until buyers showed some confidence.

``As soon as the confidence comes back and people don't think we're on a steep escalator downwards, the buying will return and there will be some recovery then,'' he said.

``A month ago I was pretty confident that we'd see some return to normality by the end of the first quarter next year but what's happened recently has pushed that back at least a couple of months.

``I would think by the middle of next year we'd be starting to see some return to normality.
``It will probably take a couple of U.S. quarters of reporting without any surprises or epic failures before that happens.''

However, Mr Gatt thought property markets were yet to show the full impact of the slide.
``Equity markets react quickly because it has liquidity in the markets, but, sadly, property markets don't quite get there as quickly,'' he said.

``It's only when it gets back to market that they can actually trade the asset. If you've got your asset down to 100 and the market really is moving more towards 80, you don't want to bear that loss when the markets move south again.

``I think it will be much more drawn-out on the institutional
front of the market.''