A2M short term outlook 1

lgmqy2000

lgmqy2000 发表于 2018-5-25 14:31
Trapped buyers above 1025 and short term bum pickers below 950, in between i think likely be the p ...

Buyers were there below 950 this morning....Res above 10. Ping pong continues.

lgmqy2000

Likely another attempt to above 10-1020 in coming days, seeking acceptance.

lgmqy2000

What happened this morning when near 950 support. Trapped sellers/passive buyers soaking up, then active buyers stepped in. Green stairs moving up after that...

Everyone is looking at the same tape, you gotta organise the data in a way that picks out the key points.

lgmqy2000

Taking profit around 1020 today. For further upside 1050 and 11, will have to see acceptance around 1020. Or attempt to look below 10 and fail.

satellite2019

lgmqy2000

Next swing decision in coming days could be important. Rejection around 1025 and 1050 sets up below 9 target. The bullish case is acceptance above 10, sets up 1135 target

lgmqy2000

Buying back some for short term upside. Target 1143

ft19s

澳股没有意义

lgmqy2000

ft19s 发表于 2018-5-31 14:18
澳股没有意义

yeh? How? I'm curious

ft19s

lgmqy2000 发表于 2018-5-31 14:29
yeh? How? I'm curious

Manipulation 90%, Trend 10%

lgmqy2000

ft19s 发表于 2018-5-31 14:38
Manipulation 90%, Trend 10%

Different phases of the market has different characteristics. If you are able to recognise manipulative behaviour, why not take advantage of it?

Manipulation is always there....stock market has never been a fair playing ground, You are either a shrimp, small fish or shark. Eat to survive and get bigger or gets eaten, depending on your skill and capital.

lgmqy2000

ft19s 发表于 2018-5-31 14:38
Manipulation 90%, Trend 10%

And how you come up with that statistics? Any evidence to back it?

ft19s

lgmqy2000 发表于 2018-5-31 14:49
And how you come up with that statistics? Any evidence to back it?

No point arguing on that.

You believe whatever you choose to believe.

You can never make a right guess which hand of mine has the coin, unless I intend to let you win. Just saying.

lgmqy2000

ft19s 发表于 2018-5-31 14:58
No point arguing on that.

You believe whatever you choose to believe.

i'm not arguing....i'm curious. Because it takes serious skills to derive that kind of stats.

ft19s

lgmqy2000 发表于 2018-5-31 15:04
i'm not arguing....i'm curious. Because it takes serious skills to derive that kind of stats.

stats works well only when the assumption is consistent with the reality. The reality of stock markets are rather random so it is unlikely to be modeled well.

Given all the historic data of a stock you cannot predict its price tomorrow, while you can easily identify a person if you saw him/her a few times.

lgmqy2000

ft19s 发表于 2018-5-31 15:24
stats works well only when the assumption is consistent with the reality. The reality of stock mar ...

Random? Really? I'm not saying it's predictable 100%, but it's randomness in a contained manner. You just gotta step back and see the whole framework.

ft19s

lgmqy2000 发表于 2018-5-31 15:33
Random? Really? I'm not saying it's predictable 100%, but it's randomness in a contained manner. Y ...

You cannot even predict up or down correctly mate, not even close. Cause you would be more wealthy than Warren Buffett if you can.

Your most precise and reliable prediction would be the price tomorrow is not going to be the same as today.

lgmqy2000

ft19s 发表于 2018-5-31 15:55
You cannot even predict up or down correctly mate, not even close. Cause you would be more wealthy ...

I said randomness in a contained manner, i never said it's 100% predictable.  And i don't try to predict, i try to anticipate what kind of move has more probability the next day and manage my risk accordingly.

ft19s

lgmqy2000 发表于 2018-5-31 16:05
I said randomness in a contained manner, i never said it's 100% predictable.  And i don't try to p ...

The probability you provided is an indication to the investor of buying or selling or staying still. I cannot see the difference between this and a prediction.

Yes, your framework maybe reasonable. Your analysis maybe sound. But the only thing can prove it is to wait until future comes.

Would be good to see your model works. You might make a lot of money from it, who knows.

Good luck mate

lgmqy2000

lgmqy2000 发表于 2018-5-31 13:45
Buying back some for short term upside. Target 1143

Got stopped out. No biggie. Loss is part of the cost doing this business. Just gotta manage it, avoid turning into a big loss.

小狗宝宝

你们能讲中文么

淡泊的净化

你们能讲中文么

hnxhyz

一群中国人在中文论坛说英文

美猴王

小狗宝宝 发表于 2018-6-1 14:32
你们能讲中文么

他们在用英文吵架, 看了也白看.

wliu1197

又跌了

lgmqy2000

Buy triggers if gets above 1020 and hold. 1st target 11. If fail, opens up 950 again and gap below.

琴马岛的海

我也觉得在中文论坛讲英文很奇怪；没错你的英语很好，也可能工作环境让你习惯了讲英语，但中文以后绝对会成为与英文比肩重要的一门语言，作为中国人都不说中文这的确是一种怪现象……

frankmanzhu

lgmqy2000 发表于 2018-6-6 15:01
Buy triggers if gets above 1020 and hold. 1st target 11. If fail, opens up 950 again and gap below.

我就等着hold 1020了，抛压好重，又有小散，小机构离场。
A2 大起大落好多天了

shortlanding

嗯，都是很理性的哲学层次的思辨；看到就是赚到

lgmqy2000

琴马岛的海 发表于 2018-6-6 19:16
我也觉得在中文论坛讲英文很奇怪；没错你的英语很好，也可能工作环境让你习惯了讲英语，但中文以后绝对会成 ...

Trading computer, no Chinese language input. Sry about that.