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jeffxia 发表于 2013-9-12 14:34 
整天这个破产哪个破产,有什么凭据么?
--中国银监会26日提供的数据显示,截至7月底,中国银行业金融机 ...
Ding data. (Sorry can not type chinese at work).
Can not agree on any more on the reply. "Debt crisis" in China is not a real problem. First, stable saving rate. Second government entity which make huge profit. Third Government support. "Debt crisis" in China has been discussed over decades and "collapse of Chinese economy" is on forecasting news every year. But it never happens so far. I think there must be some reasons (may not be the above ones but the reason will continure support Chinese growth).
I think Chinese government has to carry huge debt before consumption habit change in China. Due to many reasons, savings rate has been very high in decades which means Chinese (us) felt unconfortable in investment or consumption so government has to consume/invest on our behalf. The only way to make it possible is to carry debt (and to collect money from these savings so that making high property price) to support the growth on behalf of people. It is (so far in my opinion) the most efficient way to keep China growth.
The problem we are having now in China (still in my opinion) is the efficiency of government consumption/investment is reducing. Eg, 5 yrs ago, $1 government consumption can make $10 GDP gowth but now it can only make $4. It makes the Debt/GDP growth rate a bit unhealthy. And i believe government has realized the problems and try to change the basis (encourage people's investment so Government's quiting and people's engaging) but it will take very long time and meet many problems. We should give it time and be confident on that.
Go China. The best in the world!!! |
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