谢国忠鼓吹澳洲房子要跌.

merry43

谢国忠鼓吹澳洲房子要跌.他的理由是澳洲人口只有两千万,而地那么多,但是他想过没有这里人的居住是很集中的,也就主要住在几个大城市.记得多年前他就说国内房产要跌,结果呢?!这就是所谓的经济学家.

merry43

谢国忠以前的预测这么错,怎么还好意思再预测呢. 如果自己有套理论就能成专家的话,那么很多人都是专家了.

merry43

Some economists in China are paid to speak for benefits of some financial groups

bbqau

已经说了很多年了吧？

merry43

Sorry. I can't type in Chinese now. I just saw him speech on TV today.

软件工人

谢国忠预测不准中国楼市不能说明他不懂经济，只能说明他不懂政治。很多国际通行的价值观和理论，在中国都是行不通的。

merry43

软件工人 发表于 2013-2-15 20:59
谢国忠预测不准中国楼市不能说明他不懂经济，只能说明他不懂政治。很多国际通行的价值观和理论，在中国都是 ...

Do you think what Xie Guo Zhong commented about Australian property market is correct? Economy can't be seperated from the country's policy. What he said about Australian property market is not correct as he doesn't notice the major cities in Australia are only Sydney, Melbourne, etc. Australian ajority population are living in these major cities.

merry43

The population in Australia will reach 23 millions around May 2013.

zhongbingo

谢国忠不错，就是说的早一些

y12345678

1、澳洲人的居住模式和中国不同啊
一个人占一个大house的还挺多的

2、澳洲地多不假，但是开发出来适合人居住的却很有限。
一个是因为人工贵，开发土地成本高。一个是因为澳洲的大部分是不毛的荒地，大家喜欢的城市就那么几个。

3、澳洲人口还在增长中。
如果中国房地产增值是通过人口城市化推动的，澳洲很大一部分是人口净流入造成的

4、税务模式的不同。
负扣税的概念，国内没有等价物

merry43

y12345678 发表于 2013-2-15 21:25
1、澳洲人的居住模式和中国不同啊
一个人占一个大house的还挺多的

Perfect analysis. It's pity I used up all points today:)

flyfish668

谢国忠的经济理论基础是非常好的

merry43

It said on the market there are only winners not experts.

Ponny

你信他吗?

zcwhy

她是谁？

yourock

谢国忠滚！

merry43

Ponny 发表于 2013-2-15 21:48
你信他吗?

I believe if the Chinese economy is still good then the Australian property price will still go up for the middle and low end market. I am not sure about the high end market. Sorry. I can't type in Chinese right now.

lingyan398

买过房的希望涨，还没有买到希望跌。现在通涨厉害，还是买吧，如果经济能力还可以的话。买哪里好呢？大家都说glen waverley好，看涨，但是贵。各位有什么高见，到底买哪里的？我是墨尔本的。

haohaoouioui

又是谢砖家的预测，无语。

merry43

lingyan398 发表于 2013-2-15 21:52
买过房的希望涨，还没有买到希望跌。现在通涨厉害，还是买吧，如果经济能力还可以的话。买哪里好呢？大家都 ...

Sorry. I live in Sydney. You can ask friends in Melbourne.

clzhang

lingyan398 发表于 2013-2-15 21:52
买过房的希望涨，还没有买到希望跌。现在通涨厉害，还是买吧，如果经济能力还可以的话。买哪里好呢？大家都 ...

ringwood,最近两年GLEN跌，RINGWOOD涨

merry43

Xie said he just went back from Australia. He asked people to sell properties in Australia. He knows he doesn't need to take any responsibility if people follow his suggestion.

merry43

If people followed his suggestion long time ago and sold properties in China they lost the big money but Xie did't need to take any responsibility for the other people's loss. I am not sure if he himself invested in the Chinese property market.

daniello

已经不准过很多次了

merry43

daniello 发表于 2013-2-15 22:01
已经不准过很多次了

Yes. That's why I think he shall stop giving any selling suggestion to the people in public. At least he needed to say his advice was only his personal opinion not certain but he sounded like what he said is quite certain.

flyspirit

谢国忠现在也贱， 还好意思做预测。 皮也真是够厚的。

orchids

daniello 发表于 2013-2-15 22:01
已经不准过很多次了

那就是说这次蒙准的可能性比较高了？

merry43

flyspirit 发表于 2013-2-15 22:05
谢国忠现在也贱， 还好意思做预测。 皮也真是够厚的。

TOTAL AGREE

daniello

orchids 发表于 2013-2-15 22:06
那就是说这次蒙准的可能性比较高了？

从概率上来说，这这样的

merry43