Do or die moment coming for markets next week

lgmqy2000

Charts are reaching decision point. Waiting for Mr market to make a call.

Ronin8317

不是Mr Market, 是President Trump吧。

lgmqy2000

Ronin8317 发表于 2018-4-13 16:14
不是Mr Market, 是President Trump吧。

No, it's Mr market.

mel11

Do or die 这嗑唠的 绝!

timing

Mrs Market makes the decision.

lgmqy2000

Now if people look back what our index (xjo) has done since i posted this thread, they likely to make sense why i said on the 13 April, market is at a "do or die" decision point.

Charting analysis is all boiled down to two key questions to solve - ability to recognise timing of a potential move, then anticipate its direction.

MXST18

嗯，美股要决定是否向下突破去地狱，澳股要决定是否向上突破去天堂

lgmqy2000

MXST18 发表于 2018-5-4 08:53
嗯，美股要决定是否向下突破去地狱，澳股要决定是否向上突破去天堂

Yes, the two markets were in sync until 19 April, since then have gone opposite ways.

Now approaching another decision point. I have a few scenarios in mind and frankly speaking, the hardest one to imagine is a US market sell off while our market continues to bolting upwards.

苍满满

lgmqy2000 发表于 2018-5-4 09:16
Yes, the two markets were in sync until 19 April, since then have gone opposite ways.

Now approa ...

你说的对，符合我的预期

我已经感觉到美国资金注入澳股了，特别是某些矿产业 （如果你看看每天的4:10分的cross trade量有所增加而且都是巨大的）

肯定准备来一波最强势的大涨（可能15-30%），时间跨度6个月-1年半，然后再直接爆发金融危机（房市股市一起来）收割澳洲韭菜。
最后土澳人民的韭菜资本流入美帝资本家手中，失落的20年（跟日本欧洲一样）。
造成土澳鹰派上台，经济一团糟，只能通过战争来弥补人民心中的不满（普通老百姓被洗脑觉得是中国抢走了他们的财富）

不得不说华尔街的那帮人是真的聪明

lgmqy2000

苍满满 发表于 2018-5-4 09:43
你说的对，符合我的预期  

我已经感觉到美国资金注入澳股了，特别是某些矿产业 （如果你看看每 ...

I'd be glad to hear more detail from your cross trade observation.

苍满满

lgmqy2000 发表于 2018-5-4 13:30
I'd be glad to hear more detail from your cross trade observation.

嘿嘿，我是胡乱猜的，大神不用较真嘀

lgmqy2000

Late March and early April 2011, the equivalent of where xjo is at this month....bulls be very careful.

lgmqy2000

Market pausing on tight range. It wants new high on range expansion, watch for sign of exhaustion on new highs and sharp reversal. That would be the first telltale signs.

lgmqy2000

lgmqy2000 发表于 2018-5-8 13:40
Market pausing on tight range. It wants new high on range expansion, watch for sign of exhaustion on ...

New high and range expansion days coming.

lgmqy2000

lgmqy2000 发表于 2018-5-10 08:57
New high and range expansion days coming.

Early signs of selling into expansion/highs. Setup is on track so far.

zn7726

你们能好好说话吗…………看不懂

MXST18

zn7726 发表于 2018-5-11 11:16
你们能好好说话吗…………看不懂

他说空头气氛开始出现

lgmqy2000

zn7726 发表于 2018-5-11 11:16
你们能好好说话吗…………看不懂

This bell curve is the range that market is working on since Oct last year.  Now i'm looking for signs of rejection of higher levels to build a case for 5932 and 5700 target.

lgmqy2000

Market momentum leaders like BSL, TWE get beaten up or unable to push further up is a clue that bull's strength is exhausting.

Blueswan

苍满满 发表于 2018-5-4 09:43
你说的对，符合我的预期  

我已经感觉到美国资金注入澳股了，特别是某些矿产业 （如果你看看每 ...

不得不说 你真聪明

lgmqy2000

lgmqy2000 发表于 2018-5-11 12:25
This bell curve is the range that market is working on since Oct last year.  Now i'm looking for ...

The trade war truce news was out yday. Most aisan markets reaction were largely positive, but our index was subdued. The divergent of this reaction is becoming apparent this morning, given sp500 reacted positively overnight.

This potential setup is slowly gaining the odds.

lgmqy2000

lgmqy2000 发表于 2018-5-22 10:46
The trade war truce news was out yday. Most aisan markets reaction were largely positive, but our  ...

Why our market has more chance to the downside? I think raising US rates(funding cost for our banks) doesn't bode well for Aus/NZ leveraged up housing market/debts, when the US, soon EU is on a deleveraging path. Serious correction or slow bleed.

lgmqy2000

http://blog.sina.com.cn/s/blog_467a66b00102xq4v.html

Danger is looming...next round after emerging economies could be debt fuelled property hot spots like aus, nz and canada

Da_Musiq

不雅。 or die

lgmqy2000

CSL, TWE, JHX, RMD, ALL, REA, COH, SEK

Market darlings that UBS thinks is getting expensive and reducing exposure.

lhsydney

意大利黑手党也有一样的谚语 the mafia says get horny or die trying

lgmqy2000

sp500 had the biggest closing vol in 3 years last night, NFP tonight. Price is sitting on about half way between all time high and Feb low, in a tight range. Could be calm before the storm. Wait and see if NFP is the trigger for breakout.