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[外汇债券] why smh said"Aussie dollar hits 10-year high"? [复制链接]

发表于 2007-3-20 13:55 |显示全部楼层
此文章由 sh-boy 原创或转贴,不代表本站立场和观点,版权归 oursteps.com.au 和作者 sh-boy 所有!转贴必须注明作者、出处和本声明,并保持内容完整
why smh said"Aussie dollar hits 10-year high" while somelese in the forum says dropped dramatically?










The Australian dollar shot up to its highest level in 10 years today after passing the 80 US cent mark on heightened expectations of an interest rate rise here in the short term.

The currency surged to a high of 80.30 US cents in local morning trade as global stock markets strengthened and rate rise speculation continued.

The local currency has climbed above the 80 US cent level only twice in the past decade and is now trading at its fourth highest level since it was floated in 1983.

Since it was floated, the Australian dollar has reached 89.60 US cents in March 1989, 84.75 cents in September 1990 and 82.15 cents in December 1996.

Deutsche Bank foreign exchange strategist John Horner said the domestic unit went up in line with other high-yielding currencies including sterling and the New Zealand dollar.

"Partly it reflects the weakness of the US dollar we've seen over the past few days and the increased chance of a rate hike here domestically," he said.

The domestic unit last traded above 80 US cents in February 2004.

Overnight it traded between a low of 79.43 US cents and a high of 80.04, after closing at 79.54 US cents yesterday.

Economists say a speech last week by Reserve Bank of Australia assistant governor, economics, Malcolm Edey, warning on inflation has driven the dollar higher.

Dr Edey said on Friday that the central bank's projection for an underlying inflation rate of 2.75 per cent this year was higher than ideal.

His comments raised speculation that another interest rate rise was on cards in the first half of 2007 - perhaps as early as May - after three hikes last year.

"Growing speculation that the RBA many need to hike rates again has kept the upward pressure on Australian interest rates," nabCapital head of currency strategy John Kyriakopoulos.

But a stumble in global equity markets could dent the Australian dollar and market watchers questioned whether its current advance could be sustained.

"I don't think these levels will be sustained in coming weeks," Mr Horner said.

"The commodity price environment and the risk environment will come under pressure."

At midday the Australian dollar was back below 80 US cents.
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发表于 2007-3-20 14:10 |显示全部楼层
此文章由 happysee 原创或转贴,不代表本站立场和观点,版权归 oursteps.com.au 和作者 happysee 所有!转贴必须注明作者、出处和本声明,并保持内容完整
暴跌是前段时间的,今天澳元上冲0.803几,达到十年新高,不过已经被打下来点了,到0.798附近,也是相当高了.

退役斑竹 特殊贡献奖章

发表于 2007-3-20 14:17 |显示全部楼层
此文章由 applenet 原创或转贴,不代表本站立场和观点,版权归 oursteps.com.au 和作者 applenet 所有!转贴必须注明作者、出处和本声明,并保持内容完整
所以根据过往澳币的历史,再往上冲的机会不大,虽然这两天涨

发表于 2007-3-20 14:18 |显示全部楼层
此文章由 sh-boy 原创或转贴,不代表本站立场和观点,版权归 oursteps.com.au 和作者 sh-boy 所有!转贴必须注明作者、出处和本声明,并保持内容完整
i see i see,thank you happysee...

how are you these days?still busy?havent seen you for a long time~~

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