|
|
此文章由 hxsh2000 原创或转贴，不代表本站立场和观点，版权归 oursteps.com.au 和作者 hxsh2000 所有！转贴必须注明作者、出处和本声明，并保持内容完整
猎梦人 发表于 2013-7-5 22:15 
我觉得经历吧，光靠这样说是没用的，但我相信跟你说的这些朋友都是善意的。
只有经历过相应的场景，才可 ...
Totally agree with you on the comments, BANZHU:). I think Fubao's theory also is good when the market does not act in the worst situations. In the normal case, it always helps you to make money.
It is like the gambling theory we are quite familiar with: If you play a 50/50 game and use below strategy to make the betting, in most cases, you win the money:
1. Initially put $1, if win, take extra $1 and put $1 on the betting, if lose, go to 2;
2. put $2, if win, take extra $2 which covers initial $1 lose and win $1, go back to put $1 on the betting, if lose, go to 3;
3. put $4, if win, take extra $4 which covers intial $1 and step 2 $2 and win $1, go back to put $1 on the betting, if lose, go to 4;
...
...
...
N. put 2*2*2...*2 (n times), if win, take extra $... which covers all the money in the previous steps and win $1, go back to put $1 on the betting, if lose, go to N+1
If you do not have enough money to cover N+1 betting, you lose all the money
How to judge this theory and input how many percentages as the intial betting is up to us and depends on our personality. However, if our intial betting is big, the N will be small and the tolerance is small. Therefore, it is quite easy to go to step N+1 and lose all the money. However, if our intial betting is small, the N will be big and the tolerance is small. Do you have enough patience to wait to collect the initial money each time? Or even in extreme situations, there are too many steps before it gets right, lose all the money.
All the theory has its advantage and disadvantage. There is no perfect way to garantee that we always make money. It is only to select the risk tolerance we can take and choose the corresponding strategies to react. |
评分
-
查看全部评分
|
长城柴油X200 2.0T SUV提车和驾驶2天感受 (2012-2-12) 漂流南太平洋 
楼主:fubao
发表于 2013-7-30 17:11
