澳元点位分析

dingyipu

欢迎大家分享各自的分析，当然也欢迎加分捧场：）

*$0.9450 Offers on approach
*$0.9429 76.4% of $0.9459-0.9330
*$0.9420 Medium offers
*$0.9410 Market stops, 61.8% of $0.9459-0.9330
*$0.9400 Medium offers (21-day ma)
*$0.9375/77 Asia high, 5-day ma
*$0.9350 Minor offers ($0.9349 - 55-day ma)
*$0.9333 ***Current market price 0536GMT Wednesday
*$0.9320 Medium demand, stops ($0.9325 - 3 Jul low)
*$0.9300 Strong demand, stops
*$0.9290 Market stops
*$0.9279 100-day ma
*$0.9258 5 Jun low
*$0.9250 Strong demand (50% of $0.8995-0.9505)
*$0.9229 3 Jun low

个人短期看跌澳元，原因不明...可能是被Steven吓住了吧...

Dailycfdindex

shdanding

dingyipu

shdanding 发表于 2014-7-16 17:52

为什么加了分以后就看不见你的图了...


Weak milk auctions and softer inflation will put some doubt in the minds of the RBNZ as to their next move and once again highlights the dangers of being the first to hike in an environment where many CB’s are still very much on an easing path. As I have stated for the past few weeks I think NZD has come close to its highs and the weight of carry positions combined with the continued effects on exports and now softer inflation should sufficiently shift the risks for a move lower. I continue to advocate a lower conviction. AUD isn’t quite so clear for me at the moment, with a certain amount of negativity already priced and a stubbornness to break out of the range I prefer advocating medium term downside with some window KO’s as opposed to an outright strong lower conviction in the cash space.


Resistance:  0.9385, 0.9420/30, 0.9480
Support:  0.9330, 0.9280

dingyipu

shdanding 发表于 2014-7-16 17:52

原来你又编辑了...我说呢...以为卷分跑路了...

shdanding

dingyipu 发表于 2014-7-16 17:55
为什么加了分以后就看不见你的图了...

发帖骗分啊

原来的图太小了，换了张大图重新贴了。

dingyipu

shdanding 发表于 2014-7-16 17:57
发帖骗分啊

原来的图太小了，换了张大图重新贴了。

发现了：P

dingyipu

AUDUSD rallied initially as Yellen’s pre-prepared speech hit the wire’s as the relatively dovish comments took us up to 0.9390/00 with the turn coming as she stated that improving data will speed up the timing and size of Fed funds rates. We open up on the 0.9320/40 support area feeling pretty heavy with no real reaction to slightly better than expected China GDP (7.5% vs consensus 7.4%),I remain short and will add through 0.9320 and any rally to 0.9360/70.   NZD bashed on various fronts after Yellen followed by another shocking GDT auction with headline down 8.9% then finally 2Q CPI coming in lower than expected (+0.3% q/q +1.6% y/y vs consensus +0.4% q/q +1.8% y/y) taking us to a low so far of 0.8690.I got this move wrong and have now flipped short looking for an initial move to 0.8610/40 area (0.8610 100 dma and 0.8640 an old high),for today I would expect rallies limited to 0.8720/30.  AUDNZD move higher began after the dairy auction taking us from 1.0640/50 and ultimately a current high just above 1.0740 post CPI, whilst there does seem decent selling interest around this level I have cut my shorts and have a neutral view for the moment with the possibility of a further move higher towards 100 dma at 1.0775.

dingyipu

For now the July NFP low (0.9327) holds strong and as per the original plan we have taken back some shorts looking to re-sell on a rally towards 0.9360/70. Stops can be rolled very short term back through 0.9410/20 with next week building to be a busy week for the Aussie.

Dailycfdindex

请丁总提供中文服务，谢谢

dingyipu

Dailycfdindex 发表于 2014-7-16 19:24
请丁总提供中文服务，谢谢

哈哈，没人加分啊...

dingyipu

*$0.9459 10 Jul high
*$0.9450 Offers on approach
*$0.9429 76.4% of $0.9459-0.9330
*$0.9420 Medium offers
*$0.9410 Market stops, 61.8% of $0.9459-0.9330
*$0.9400 Medium offers (21-day ma)
*$0.9375/79 Intraday high, 5-day ma
*$0.9347 ***Current market price 0950GMT Wednesday
*$0.9330/25 Intraday & 3 Jul lows
*$0.9320 Medium demand, stops ($0.9322 - 61.8% of $0.9208-0.9505)
*$0.9300 Strong demand, stops
*$0.9290 Market stops
*$0.9279 100-day ma
*$0.9258 5 Jun low
*$0.9250 Strong demand (50% of $0.8995-0.9505)

vinsonz

分来了，中文来

dingyipu

vinsonz 发表于 2014-7-16 21:20
分来了，中文来

哈哈，先给你个报告：



中文的话，简而言之，暂时认为0.9450上方，RBA和澳洲本土银行会对汇市进行有限干预，所以不认为短期内会超过这个点位。只能是在下方波动或者下探。

Dailycfdindex

看这么多数字比看k线图还要难，像似大学微积分迷宫，我在找批评分，如果只有二个数字：进仓数，平仓数，我就学着加分，sorry,  

dingyipu

AUDUSD: 强劲 交易量, 无 偏. 除了杠杆基金都是买盘

孙阿姨

澳元今天已经是第四回又回到了5.77元兑人民币

BOBOBA2011

dingyipu

孙阿姨 发表于 2014-7-16 23:22
澳元今天已经是第四回又回到了5.77元兑人民币

早啊阿姨，贴些中行的分析吧：）

dingyipu

谢谢支持，才有动力贴：P

dingyipu

AUDJPY强阻力位96.55

dingyipu

it seems that we have a rejection from the support at 0.9330. Targets to upside will be 0.9450 and 0.95. I like to think that a top has been signaled at 0.95 and a deeper correction will happen , but I’ll watch price action at higher levels. Till then it’s safe to ride it a little higher against 0.9330.

Dailycfdindex

丁总早上好，早点很丰富，但我只能出击一个战场，你觉得哪个战场最有可能拿30p，谢谢，

zurgee

新人进来凑热闹，没穿鞋加不了分。。 纯顶支持

dingyipu

zurgee 发表于 2014-7-17 10:58
新人进来凑热闹，没穿鞋加不了分。。 纯顶支持

欢迎～Westpac将在现在的点位多AUDNZD

Dailycfdindex

dingyipu 发表于 2014-7-17 13:17
欢迎～Westpac将在现在的点位多AUDNZD

这不是新鲜事，TV上都说买这个货币对，你总算找到一些热门货。

dingyipu

Dailycfdindex 发表于 2014-7-17 14:13
这不是新鲜事，TV上都说买这个货币对，你总算找到一些热门货。

恩，这个是之前的Westpac morning advice上面说的，作者Rob Rennie，Sean Callow，所以我在这个点位做了标记。

Dailycfdindex

dingyipu 发表于 2014-7-17 14:22
恩，这个是很早之前的Westpac morning advice上面说的，所以我在这个点位做了标记。 ...

cityindex 刚在TV上还讲许多热门货，你的小cake早就过时了，没分加，sorry

Dailycfdindex

丁总，请研究一下EUR/AUD，please

dingyipu

Dailycfdindex 发表于 2014-7-17 14:42
丁总，请研究一下EUR/AUD，please

30-35有大量止损单被平仓：）