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墨尔本的情况如下:
Market conditions are still sending mixed signals as we approach the second half of 2012. Whilst there are good levels of activity in some sectors, a larger proportion of the market is showing signs of uncertainty when it comes to new projects commencing.
This continued uncertainty is most apparent in mid to larger scale developments upwards of $50M. Now that both the State and Federal budgets have been released, groups who operate in these institutional project areas are anticipating a difficult 12-months ahead based on limited industry related outcomes from both budgets. There are some positives though and with several project initiatives due to commence, these projects are hotly sought after.
As a result of the uncertainty, recruitment trends are difficult to quantify and indeed vary from month to month. A tangible trend has been the increase in the proportion of contract roles over permanent positions, with many positions being listed as a result of new projects commencing and offering short term engagement to people with relevant skills to the projects’ needs. Given the tight time frames that many projects are demanding, employers are leaning towards contract engagements due to the flexibility this allows. The ability to extend contract duration, should further projects commit, is also being noted as a positive by clients, as they would prefer to transition previous or existing contract personnel into an ongoing or permanent role when workflow permits.
Permanent roles are tending to be more strategic in nature; for instance, a practice will isolate specific skill sets that do not currently exist within their mix of personnel. Based on the softer market conditions, a number of these strategic roles have resulted in strong outcomes for the practices and relevant applicants alike.
Interestingly, these strategic roles have targeted relatively junior people right through to senior level professionals, and this perhaps gives us some insight into the broader market place in general. Prominent in these requests has been strong concept design capabilities, particularly with broadly based project sector experience, suggesting that these practices expect to remain active in feasibility and concept stages into the medium term. Importantly, many are indicating that they are not confident of projects gaining the necessary financial commitment to progress to construction stages.
Second to design capabilities are requests for those with strong client management experience, however many of these roles remain on hold until projects are 100% confirmed.
There have been fewer strategic enquiries for project delivery and documentation personnel; again suggestive that the focus of many practices’ is to win projects at the current time, rather than deliver them.
Similar to our update in February, approximately 20% of clients are comfortable with their current and upcoming project flow, 60% are anticipating project commitments and 20% are voicing strong concern as to the forthcoming workload. Of that 60% in the middle, a strong proportion are noting concern as to the elongated time frames associated with projects gaining commitment. The next few months will be critical to see what type and scale of projects move forward into construction stages, and as a result, determining overall market activity levels for the latter part of 2012 and heading into 2013.
As has been the case over the past twelve months, broader economic scenarios internationally continue to impact confidence levels locally. Reasons for projects having long lead in times range from overall market confidence levels being low, stringent financing requirements from lending institutions, planning issues and limited projects emanating from the Public Sector.
Recent drops in interest rates (and the expectation of more to come), along with the drop in the Australian dollar in recent weeks are seen as positives from many, although not yet enough to have an immediate tangible impact.
In positive terms, projects that we are seeing move forward are coming from “pockets” within different project sectors and are broadly based, with evidence that quality apartments, institutional, health, commercial refurbishment, retail and hospitality projects are moving forward, having gained both regulatory and financial commitments. A number of these projects are Revit based and as a result, demand has remained consistent for capable, industry experienced Revit skilled Architects, Technicians and Interior Designers.
The Interior Design market is similar to Architecture, in that activity levels are varied with some retail, commercial and residential projects moving forward. A large number of practices continue to indicate long lead in times and tight fee levels which are key issues in determining levels of future workload. Whilst a number of larger commercial tenancy projects are “potentials”, the industry is still keen to see these move into the “definite” territory.
Hourly rates and salaries have not seen any tangible increase during 2012 so far, but given that a number of practices will soon be conducting mid-year reviews, determining increases for staff and essentially looking to balance CPI increases with future fee and project forecasts is proving difficult.
Given the increasing competitiveness for available roles, we note that there has been a level of flexibility from immediately available applicants when entering new positions, but in the majority of instances, contract rates and salaries have held at a similar level to early 2012. |
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