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发表于 2022-10-23 15:13
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本帖最后由 che999 于 2022-10-23 17:10 编辑
2成多不准确，之前2020预测的是2021跌四层
RBA predicts a potential 40 per cent drop in house prices
We’ve been riding on a wave that’s seen us boom for decades – but now it could all come crashing down, new research shows.

Jason Murphy
@jasemurphy
5 min read
August 31, 2020 -
https://www.google.com/amp/s/www ... 4d35a1d9e6668%3famp

Finance
Economy
Australian Economy
RBA predicts a potential 40 per cent drop in house prices
We’ve been riding on a wave that’s seen us boom for decades – but now it could all come crashing down, new research shows.

Jason Murphy
@jasemurphy
5 min read
August 31, 2020 - 12:58PM

High unemployment, low-interest rates and the rental market unpredictable - Is now the time to enter the Australian housing market?
New research shows what will happen if house prices fall. The news is bad. It turns out Australia is so puffed up on housing wealth that if house prices fall they drag down a huge section of our economy with them.
The Reserve Bank of Australia put out new research on Tuesday with some dire warnings. RBA investigated the effect of a 40 per cent fall in house prices – a fall they described as “extreme but plausible”. That would mean a $500,000 home falls to $300,000 and a $1 million home falls to $600,000.
They chose that figure because such a fall has happened in other countries during the global financial crisis (GFC). They also assume rising unemployment falls and a sharemarket crash. |
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西安油泼扯面 (2008-9-16) yqleaf 
发表于 2022-10-23 13:19
