澳州2010年六月份季度民用房 数据统计和调查

truelive

来自nab

EmbargoedThursday 29 July, 11.30am

Highlights:

• Residential Property price     expectations downgraded over the next 12 months, with Melbourne price     expectations moving from strongest in March qtr to weakest in June qtr.
• Sub $500,000 properties     tipped to outperform the market, with properties valued over $2 million     expected to fall.
• Foreign buyers expected to     account for around 9% of all residential purchases over the next 12     months.

• Australian house price     expectations for the next 12 months have slipped significantly, with the     national average now sitting at +1.4% down from +5.2% recorded in the     March quarter.
• Following very rapid     growth over the past 12 months, Melbourne has seen the most notable     change, leading last quarter’s expectations at +5.8% but now finishing     last nationally at +0.7%.
• Adelaide (2.2%), Sydney     (2.1%), Perth (2.0%) and Brisbane (0.8%), have all seen expectations fall     over the past quarter.
• Canberra, whilst also     having fallen from +5.1% last quarter to a current +2.9%, is now leading     the way for national house price growth expectations.
• Foreign buyers are     expected to account for almost 9% of all purchases of existing housing     over the next 12 months.  
• The balance is split     between Australian owner occupiers (46.8%), investors (29.3%) and first     home buyers (13.3%). The percentage of buyers expected to be in the market     for new developments largely mirrors these results.
• Properties traditionally     favoured by first home buyers ($250,000-$500,000), are expected to realise     the highest percentage capital growth over the next 12 months, for both     housing and apartment stock. In contrast, homes and apartments over $2     million are considered the worst investment options (perhaps impacted by     share market volatility) according to our survey participants.
• Demand for existing     property is expected to favour houses (both semis and stand alone) in the     middle and outer suburban rings, closely followed by inner city detached     and semi detached product. Demand for new developments mirrors these     results. Apartment stock is not expected to drive strong demand within the     current development cycle, particularly outside of the city/CBD area.
• In terms of rental     expectations, SA and Victoria were considered the top States for rental     growth over the next 6 and 12 months (between 2.3% - 2.4%), with NSW, WA     and QLD expected to record 1.6% - 1.9% growth and the ACT a distant last     at 0.3% growth.
• When asked to consider the     major constraints on new housing developments survey participants     overwhelmingly believe tight credit to be the major area of concern within     the current market. This was followed by rising interest rates.
• By contrast, rising     interest rates were considered to be the major constraint in buying     existing residential property, followed by access to credit and level of     prices.