澳币还会往上涨吗？

melbourne_mm

昨天晚上澳币跌到0.80左右，我很多朋友却坚持说这一两天澳币肯定会到.83，大家怎么看？

Money

看是看不出来的，等消息吧，明天有几个报告出来，说不定会有“惊喜”～

smdx

至少还有一次试探83的反抽，也许就过了。。。

A8L

2L说的具体是啥惊喜呢？:)

idog8818

肯定的,,,

Money

原帖由 A8L 于 2009-6-5 10:29 发表
2L说的具体是啥惊喜呢？:)

美国失业率上升，但是比预期的要好，也算是个利好消息，带动美元上涨。
其他国家担心，一旦美国解决通涨问题，经济马上恢复，开始提前买票，准备搭顺风车。
看看下周的报告，可能还有更大的变化
U.S. wholesale inventories on Tuesday
U.S jobless claims, retail sales data on Thursday
U.S import and export price, and University of Michigan survey on Friday
U.S trade balance
Australia unemployment
Australia Westpac consumer confidence

sakesake

到底AUD是要涨还是跌啊？

休

原帖由 sakesake 于 2009-6-6 19:35 发表
到底AUD是要涨还是跌啊？

million dollar question

xu514

只要美元不断贬值，澳元就不断涨背！

深蓝

力拓事件是澳元反弹的结束还是休整？操纵无处不在。

UBS

原帖由 深蓝 于 2009-6-6 23:44 发表
力拓事件是澳元反弹的结束还是休整？操纵无处不在。

澳元前期超买了，现在调整一下，中线前景依旧好，虽然我希望它跌

excite

刚才新闻版有报道说俄罗斯和巴西要抛美元，看来澳元近期继续看好，希望澳元对人民币冲6，回国shopping了，

Money

美元阻力很多，但澳币后劲也不足，今天的欧洲会晤后一旦出现对美国有利的消息，澳币马上就跌。

韬光养晦

哈哈哈
澳币你快跌.... 以后 单数月章到7   双数月 跌倒3.5


皆大欢喜 皆大欢喜  哈哈哈哈哈哈哈哈

HakunaMatata

哈哈，太有才了！

王子

看来，澳币是跌下5很难了！！！

现在看好涨！

韬光养晦

我现在怕死了....学费要彪升了....汇率是我心中的 障碍啊

icac

I think AUD will keep increasing... this is due to the Interest rate is expect to go up soon (you can tell by CBA's action on friday and recently all banks lift up fixed interest rate),  when interest rate going up, currency will expect to go up.  

If we look at the past record of RBA's cash rate, the average length for cash rate in a decreasing trend is about 9 months to 1.5 years. Also, inflation is having a signal of going up. All these signals shows that RBA have the room and need to a rate increase.

Whats stopping the RBA now is the financial crisis, but with the recover and strong economic activity expect in Asia, the unlimited print of cash in the US and Europe, RBA will increase the rate sooner or later

icac

Infact, AUD will go up not just because of interest rate, the major reason might causing it is the strong economic activities coming up in China; these economic activity will bring strong demand for primary resources in Australia (the merge of Rio is an example, although failed, but won't stop China's purchasing in the future).

When demand for Australia's export going up, demand for AUD dollars will go up as well as investments from international investors will start to invest in Australia.

All these forces will push the dollar up, we can expect AUD to go up to 0.9 USD again and might even be higher, i wont be suprised if AUD is having a higher value than USD in the near future.

Money

2个月之内，澳币不会大跌，利好消息一个接一个，到0.83-0.85都是可能的，2个月后到圣诞节之前，就难说了。
五月份失业率报告刚出来那几天，RBA考虑过再次降息，只是这个信号被很多利好消息冲淡了。
继续关注失业率……

大能猫

快涨吧，这样俺就可以回去shopping了，澳洲这边的东西，不是一般的土，大版版的，不秀气。

zn7726

澳币你快跌.... 以后 单数月章到7   双数月 跌倒3.5


皆大欢喜 皆大欢喜  哈哈哈哈哈哈哈哈

那大家都炒外汇去了, 都甭上班了, 哈哈.

在澳洲挣澳币的, 当然希望澳币一路飙升了. 澳洲那么多进口东西, 澳币涨, 物价会降吧?

dayang

澳币不知道，但美金还会降的