今天的利息应该维持不变。

黑山老妖

今天早上的报纸/电台/电视台上报道的金融分析家一致认为今天的利息应该维持在现有水平上。

黑山老妖

原帖由 南门吹箫 于 2007-5-2 09:08 发表
黑版能谈谈对市场的影响嘛，包括金融，投资，还有广大同学们关注的房地产走势等等~~

这个。。。
是不是应该属于大学的宏观经济学的范畴？
我好像还没有那么NB可以开这种课。。。

黑山老妖

Okay, let me get my crystal ball out first. (Put on my witch hat.)
What can I see inside...
I see clouds... A lot of uncertainty... Times of of turbulence... Blood and destruction!
(Put my crystal ball back)

I think it's good for the economy and corporate profit. And it's good for the government @ the next election.
The budget is coming out in a week so I don't think the RBA want to preempt the treasurer. Look if ALP wins the next election then maybe next year's budge would be a inflationary. But for now as long as this budget don't give out another big tax cut we are okay with interest rate. Commsec seems to agree with me. But westpac think there should be another rate rise later in the year but not this month.

Good for housing sector and consumer spending confidence. Less heat for AU$ (fingers crossed). Maybe I am the only on thinking this way, but the drought is sending fruit and veggie prices up bad for inflation figure. The papers say the prices are coming down. My weekly shopping bills tells me otherwise. However cheaper imports because of strong AU$ should offset that.

Okay end of fortune telling. Get back to work now.

thunder

wow

oliverzeno

Unch..

VIP

原帖由 南门吹箫 于 2007-5-2 10:04 发表





我一直怀疑政府为了今年再度赢得大选，故意压低通胀，以赢取民心~~

nod,nod

丫丫ma

咋还没有新消息出来啊?

astina

原帖由 丫丫ma 于 2007-5-3 10:46 发表
咋还没有新消息出来啊?

Australia's central bank kept its benchmark interest rate unchanged yesterday as the economy's 16-year expansion gathers pace without triggering inflation.

Reserve Bank of Australia Governor Glenn Stevens left the overnight cash rate target at a six-year-high 6.25 per cent for a fifth straight meeting after raising it a quarter percentage point in November to stem inflation.

Stable interest rates may spur consumer spending and revive a stalled housing market, stoking the economy's expansion. While Australia's three interest-rate increases in 2006 have curbed price gains, inflation in Europe and the UK is picking up even as borrowing costs rise.

"Consumers will celebrate the decision, it will be good for them and that will flow through to the economy," said Gerry Harvey, chairman of Harvey Norman Holdings.

"Our business is recording strong gains and inflation is low. That's a perfect scenario for the economy."

Annual inflation was 2.4 per cent in the first quarter, moving back into the Reserve Bank's target band of between 2 per cent and 3 per cent for the first time in a year.


Advertisement
AdvertisementHeadline inflation has eased because a rising Australian dollar has cut the cost of imported goods, and banana prices fell following the end of a cyclone-induced shortage.

The currency has risen 5.3 per cent against the US dollar since the start of 2007.

The bank's "trimmed mean" measure of annual underlying inflation, which strips out volatile price movements, was 2.7 per cent in the three months to March 31.

Michael Beagley, managing director of Rodd & Gunn in Sydney, said: "The economy is in a happy place at the moment, so there is no need to change that and increase rates."

The Reserve Bank raised its benchmark rate by a quarter percentage point in May, August and November last year.

"After three policy adjustments made last year, we believed there were grounds to think that the higher inflation outcomes observed up to that time would moderate a little," Mr Stevens told a parliamentary committee in February.

The bank in February forecast annual underlying inflation of 2.75 per cent for 2007. It will issue a new forecast in its quarterly statement on monetary policy tomorrow.

"It's likely the Reserve Bank will have to revise down its inflation forecast, but they'll have to balance that by pointing out that there are still inflation risks," said Rob Henderson, a market economist at National Australia Bank.

The inflation risks come from an accelerating economic growth and a 31-year-low jobless rate that could stoke wage increases.

The economy expanded 1 per cent in the three months to December 31 from the previous quarter, the fastest in more than a year, amid a pickup in consumer spending spurred by employment growth.

Only five of 26 economists surveyed last week expect Stevens will raise rates this year.

丫丫ma

谢谢阿丝!

黑山老妖

原帖由 丫丫ma 于 2007-5-3 10:46 发表
咋还没有新消息出来啊?

啥消息？

丫丫ma

原帖由 黑山老妖 于 2007-5-3 11:00 发表

啥消息？

  就是利息维持不变的正式公布消息....阿丝已经贴出来了....

lanan

很搞笑，我一个朋友刚出了个offer，房主已经是很有意向要卖了，结果不涨息的消息一出来，呵呵，房东马上答复：不卖了！！

chenzy0513

Qiang!