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中国发起对三大金融评级机构的挑战 [复制链接]

退役斑竹

发表于 2012-1-24 15:30 |显示全部楼层
此文章由 一炷香 原创或转贴,不代表本站立场和观点,版权归 oursteps.com.au 和作者 一炷香 所有!转贴必须注明作者、出处和本声明,并保持内容完整
不久前,美国标普公司(Standard & Poor’s)公司下调了九个欧元区国家的信用等级,包括法国风光一时的AAA,这让三大国际金融评级公司越发不招人待见。现在,中国也加入了这场金融博弈。

标普,穆迪(Moody’s)和惠誉(Fitch)三家霸占了国际评级市场超过90%的份额。这一现状渐渐让中国感到厌倦。

Euromoney年度央行人物,中国人民银行行长周小川就是对此不满的人之一。他之前就敦促中国企业减少对三大评级机构的依赖,并提醒中国企业应该更多地运用自身的风险评估。

China Newsweek援引周小川的话说,当一个企业陷入困境后,其信贷评级会被大幅下调。然而在问题暴露之前,却没有有意义的评级。评级机构所做的就是在放大最好和最坏的状况,并推动危机的发生。

周小川还倡导中国积极参与国际标准的制定。他认为现有的游戏规则完全属于发达国家,发展中国家唯有顺从。但是中国的人口和经济规模决定了中国在国际舞台上应该有自己的声音。


大公国际资信评估公司(Dagong Global Credit)是目前中国最富声誉的本土评级机构。公司首席执行官关建中也在呼吁对国际资信评级规则的改革。当然,这中间也多少包含着利己的成分。

关建中认为,全球经济的复苏唯有依赖国际评级规则的改革。他建议制定一套国际评级准则,用统一的标准来维护其所有成员国的利益。关建中在接受新浪财经采访时说,新体系应该包含由各国政府提名的评级机构。这些机构将齐心协力来制定一套统一的标准。

大公在2010年首次发布了全球第一份非西方评级机构的全球国债风险报告。报告中最引发争议的是,将美国国债风险评定为高于中国国债风险。三大国际评级机构一向认为美国国债是世界上最安全的。在这份报告中,澳洲获得了让人羡慕的AAA

然而大公在中国国内也遭受非议。大公之前将负债累累的中国铁道部风险等级评定为好于中国国债。国际公认的原则是,一个企业风险不可能低于一个国家风险。

对应中国的崛起,欧元区成员国也在考虑设立自己的评级机构。













China takes on thebig three ratings agencies

http://www.theage.com.au/business/china-takes-on-the-big-three-ratings-agencies-20120124-1qexw.html




With the recent downgrading of the credit ratings of nine euro zone nations by Standard and Poor's - including the cherished triple-A rank for France - the big three ratings agencies have not been winning new friends.


And the latest salvos have been fired from a rather unexpected quarter, China, whose own fiscal strength (as we saw here yesterday) is the envy of much of the world.


Along with S&P, Moody's and Fitch control more than 90 per cent of the international credit rating market - a dominance that is beginning to irk Beijing.


The Chinese central bank governor, Zhou Xiaochuan, aka Mr Renminbi and Euromoney's Central Banker of the Year, is among those unhappy with the big three.


Mr Zhou warned Chinese companies to rely less on the credit assessments of the three giants and urged them to do more of their own due diligence.


"When a company runs into trouble, its credit rating will be ruthlessly downgraded. However, there are no insightful assessments before the problems eventuate. They only amplify the best and the worst of the subject of credit assessment and exacerbate the development of the crisis," said Mr Zhou, according to a report by China Newsweek.


Mr Zhou also advocated a more active Chinese participation in the setting of international rules. He said the existing playbook had been made by developed Western countries and developing nations had no choice but to follow these rules.
However, China's population and economic size now demanded it be heard on the international stage.


The report also took a snipe at the big three agencies' role in the global financial crisis, criticising their triple-A rating of subprime mortgage products as "modern financial magic".


Enter the Dagong
Guan Jianzhong, the chief executive of China's best known domestic ratings agency, Dagong Global Credit, is joining in the call for an overhaul of the international credit ratings regime. Somewhat self-interestedly, of course.


Mr Guan said a global economic recovery was only possible on the back of an international credit ratings reform.


He suggested the creation of a global credits rating system with a uniform standard reflecting the interests of all the members of the international community.


"The new system should comprise a credit agency from every country nominated by its regulatory authority. These rating agencies should work together to create a set of uniform rules," Mr Guan told Sina Finance News, a Chinese news site.


In addition, he also urged the creditors (read China, the largest holder of US foreign debt) to establish an international supervisory committee.


This new body would eventually become an alternative credit ratings system to that of the current system dominated by the big three.


Making waves
Dagong made headlines in 2010 when it published its inaugural report on global sovereign debt risks, the first by a non-Western ratings agency.


The most controversial feature of the report was its assessment that the debt risk of the US was higher than that of China - a judgment that jarred with the consensus among the big three that US government debt was the safest in the world.


For what it's worth, Dagong rated Australia with a coveted triple-A. (That made it four out of four.)


Dagong, though, is not above criticism itself. It's been criticised in China for its credit rating of the heavily indebted Ministry of Railways, which scored higher than China's sovereign credit rating. The call was an apparent breach of the international norm that a company can never score higher than its sovereign.


Euro zone members are also considering setting up their own ratings agency and in fact, the Committee on Economic and Monetary Affairs of the European Parliament is holding a meeting today to discuss the very topic.


The credit ratings wars have just begun.

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参与人数 2积分 +36 收起 理由
BOC + 18 感谢分享
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不要叫我宅男,请叫我老舍先生
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发表于 2012-1-24 15:34 |显示全部楼层
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没办法,皮股决定脑袋。

发表于 2012-1-24 15:37 |显示全部楼层
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支持中国和欧洲趟浑水

美国独霸评级市场确实不合理

发表于 2012-1-24 15:40 |显示全部楼层
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你要打出国际,评级最起码要中肯,否则投资者怎相信你。

发表于 2012-1-24 15:42 |显示全部楼层
此文章由 鱼羊鲜 原创或转贴,不代表本站立场和观点,版权归 oursteps.com.au 和作者 鱼羊鲜 所有!转贴必须注明作者、出处和本声明,并保持内容完整
评级是有滞后性

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参与人数 1积分 +3 收起 理由
jlhan + 3 我很赞同

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发表于 2012-1-24 15:43 |显示全部楼层
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大国崛起  
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发表于 2012-1-24 16:08 |显示全部楼层
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原帖由 flyfish668 于 2012-1-24 15:40 发表
你要打出国际,评级最起码要中肯,否则投资者怎相信你。


其实中国推出的这个是让广大的第三世界国家多买中国的国债。

发表于 2012-1-24 16:29 |显示全部楼层
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发表于 2012-1-24 17:16 |显示全部楼层
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中国统计局绝对可以成为世界最公正客观的评级机构

发表于 2012-1-24 18:22 |显示全部楼层
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原帖由 Henrychen 于 2012-1-24 16:08 发表


其实中国推出的这个是让广大的第三世界国家多买中国的国债。


估计它连第三世界的国家都骗不到

发表于 2012-1-24 18:35 |显示全部楼层
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原帖由 maqianyi 于 2012-1-24 17:16 发表
中国统计局绝对可以成为世界最公正客观的评级机构


统计局有问题,但是那三个评级机构一样,都是没事捧臭脚,有事瞎添乱的主
http://s1.dwstatic.com/group1/M00/03/FF/da92ab6b704ceb8478818071f71d5430.gif
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发表于 2012-1-24 18:41 |显示全部楼层
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事实上,中国就应该退出所有国际上的评级活动。对于中国人来说,对“信用”这个词的理解是独到的,和所有其他人类不一样的,可以随意修改的,尽在不言中的。。。。

发表于 2012-1-24 18:44 |显示全部楼层
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评级机构所做的就是在放大最好和最坏的状况,这倒没说错

发表于 2012-1-24 18:51 |显示全部楼层
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原帖由 flyfish668 于 2012-1-24 18:22 发表


估计它连第三世界的国家都骗不到


只要中国人民相信就行。

发表于 2012-1-24 19:29 |显示全部楼层
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明天我也搞个评级机构。交一万块钱给AAA,有谁要评的?

发表于 2012-1-24 20:07 |显示全部楼层
此文章由 yourock 原创或转贴,不代表本站立场和观点,版权归 oursteps.com.au 和作者 yourock 所有!转贴必须注明作者、出处和本声明,并保持内容完整
原帖由 ericlgq 于 2012-1-24 19:29 发表
明天我也搞个评级机构。交一万块钱给AAA,有谁要评的?


这个是兄弟当年玩剩下的。当年兄弟不才,也弄了某个行业的评级,当然龙头老大们都是免费给他们发奖他们不来领。但是还是有些人愿意花钱买的。
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发表于 2012-1-24 20:11 |显示全部楼层
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听中国zf谈信用比吃屎还恶心。
satisfurniture 该用户已被删除
发表于 2012-1-24 20:43 |显示全部楼层
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评上级的信用就好了?

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