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为什么in these cases需要重新计票
Labor still has 2pp lead – just
Remain calm everyone. Any reasonable estimate of the current count still has Labor ahead of the Coalition on the national two party preferred count - just.
But whether it still will at the end of counting is another question.
From election night until yesterday afternoon, the Australian Electoral Commission’s website was overstating the ALP’s after preferences lead by about 0.3 percent.
This was because its national total did not include five seats: Kennedy (Qld), Lyne (NSW), Melbourne (Vic), New England (NSW) and O’Conner (WA). And for a while it had small numbers for Denison. (Denison popped in and out of the count, actually.)
The first five had no numbers because on Saturday night the commission correctly anticipated the contest would not be Labor-Coalition. So when they commenced the count they didn’t even look at the two party preferred numbers. And they still haven’t (but will eventually).
In Denison they started counting Labor versus Liberal but then realised it would Labor against an independent (Andrew Wilkie) and started counting again.
Yesterday afternoon, the AEC took out Denison and two more seats: Batman (Vic) and Grayndler (NSW). As in Denison, they had commenced counting Labor - Liberal in these but had to start again when it turned out to be Labor versus someone else (in these cases the Greens).
工党依然在“两党倾向性”投票中领先
大家保持冷静。目前任何对“两党倾向性”投票的合理推测仍为工党领先联盟党—这是刚刚发生的。
但是否到统计选票结束时仍是这个结果就很难说了。
从上周大选之日到昨天下午,AEC网站高估了工党的领先率约0.3%。
这是因为全国计票时未包括5个席位:Kennedy (Qld), Lyne (NSW), Melbourne (Vic), New England (NSW) 以及 O’Conner (WA)。而且Denison暂时还有一部分选票(实际上Denison的票数有时计入总票数,有时没有)
因为周六晚委员会正确预见了最后竞争可能并不在联盟党和工党之间,所以这5个席位没有计票。所以当他们开始计票时,他们甚至根本没有看“两党倾向性”的数据。他们现在依然没有(但最终会的)。
在Denison,他们开始计票时认为将是工党和联盟党的竞争,但随后意识到将是工党和独立议员Andrew Wilkie的竞争,所以重新开始计票。
昨天下午,AEC把Denison和另两个席位Batman (Vic) 和Grayndler (NSW)排除在外。因为在Denison,他们开始统计工党和联盟党的得票,但当发现事实应统计工党和另一个人的竞争时,还未重新计票(这次是绿党成员)。 |
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