今天Telegraph关于Property的文章.

Artcore

December 11, 2008 12:00am

THE Sydney property market's classic Tale of Two Cities has been re-written with a surprise twist - West is best while the East gets fleeced.

A five-year trend of falling values in the outer suburbs and spectacular growth along the Harbour and coast has not only stalled but been completely turned on its head.

Long-suffering homeowners in Sydney's southwest have falling interest rates and increased first homeowner grants to thank for ending their half-decade price slide.

And the global financial crisis has ended the golden run for homeowners in the Eastern Suburbs and Lower North Shore.

Outer southwestern Sydney suburbs, such as Camden and Campbelltown, with house prices under the $500,000 mark are the biggest winners in the turnaround, with an average 1.1 per cent increase in prices over the past year.

While the increase may seem small, it comes after years of negative growth and is in stark contrast to millionaire's row suburbs such as Woollahra, Waverley and Bondi where property prices fell an average 9 per cent.

The latest figures, compiled by RP Data, reveal the south-west was the only non-beachside area to increase in property value over the past year, with the Sutherland Shire (0.4 per cent) and the Northern Beaches (2.4 per cent) also growing.

RP Data's research analyst Cameron Kusher said it was a telling sign that the most substantial falls were in the city's most expensive market.

"This further supports evidence which suggests that the global financial crisis has significantly harmed the traditional safe haven areas such as the Eastern Suburbs, due largely to forced sales and few buyers currently within the most expensive Sydney markets," he said.

Jody Savage is only 19 but with historically low interest rates and a first homebuyers grant doubled to $14,000, she is convinced now is the time to buy in the southwest.

一颗红心

麻烦国语的来一遍嘛，小蝌蚪们看着眼睛忒不舒服耶

harvey

这种媒体文章只是为了吸引眼球，它到底想表达什么观点呢？难道想用“suprise Twist" 来暗示东区“好区”capital Gain远远抛离西区这一总所周知的事实可能“正在扭转”？！如果文章只是告诉读者有这么一个新数据公布，完全应该不要用那么感情色彩的语气。实在有误导嫌疑。

文章列举了哪些事实呢？

1. Outer southwestern Sydney suburbs, such as Camden and Campbelltown, with house prices under the $500,000 mark are the biggest winners in the turnaround, with an average 1.1 per cent increase in prices over the past year.

2. While the increase may seem small, it comes after years of negative growth and is in stark contrast to millionaire's row suburbs such as Woollahra, Waverley and Bondi where property prices fell an average 9 per cent.

3. The latest figures, compiled by RP Data, reveal the south-west was the only non-beachside area to increase in property value over the past year, with the Sutherland Shire (0.4 per cent) and the Northern Beaches (2.4 per cent) also growing.

我觉得文章中所谓的Twist，实在是夸张，缺乏说服力。

1. 从西部挑了一些涨的最多的，从东部挑了一个跌的最多的来比，
2. 即使是用这个特例，只提过去1年西部 outperform的数据，完全不提过去5年，10年的情况
3. 还有澳洲的房价统计普遍采用所谓Median Price。西区近年开发的新房较多，其实用房龄较小的房子相对拉高了Median Price。试想如果一个区10年Median Price涨了100%，但这个区充斥着房龄5年以内的新房，你觉得你那个10年前买的房子有机会涨到100%吗

[ 本帖最后由 harvey 于 2008-12-12 01:30 编辑 ]