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coolioo 在 2005-9-5 05:16 PM 发表:
目标80？？基本不太可能了。能到775就不错了。我在7665空澳币，现在虽然套牢，但我估计两周内肯定能赢利。
The Australian dollar made significant inroads on the USD last week gaining more than 100 points and reaching a high of 0.7753 by Friday evening Australian time. Combined with the previous week’s aussie gains, the pair has traversed nearly 300 pips against the dollar.
In the aftermath of last week’s deluge of economic data, this week promises to be far quieter. The National Australian Bank gets things started off by releasing their August business survey on Monday. Although there is no consensus for the reading, businesses are likely to have profited over the period from appreciation in commodity prices across the board. Westpac’s September consumer confidence numbers and Dwelling Starts figures for the second quarter come out on Tuesday. Consumer confidence is should received a boost for the month of September with prices easing for three straight quarters and the unemployment rate falling to a record low at 5.0 percent. The same benefit the trade deficit has experienced over the past few months with export prices may also translate into higher expectations among Aussies. Hi lighting Wednesday’s trading will be the release of consumer inflation expectations for September. With no consensus on economist’s forecasts, traders are left with outlying factors on which to draw the conclusion of this indicator. With a record low unemployment rate encouraging Australians to turn their aussie dollars back into the economy, along with increased demand for essential commodities, citizens may remain cautious for the future. Capping the week’s calendar will be Thursday’s Reserve Bank of Australia bulletin for the month of August. The Reserve Bank’s outlook for Australian economic growth is expected to remain positive on the back of data reported last week.
The driving force behind Aussie’s movement last week was the better than expected employment numbers released on Thursday. The Australian economy added 32,600 jobs in August surpassing the 12,700 jobs added in July, both keeping the jobless rate at near a record low and confounding the market’s expectation that no new jobs would be added in August. In addition to unexpected employment gains, Australian economic growth also accelerated in July by 2.6 percent in the second quarter as compared to the 1.9 percent expansion in the first three months of the year. The feel-good factor surrounding the Aussie economy should carry on in coming weeks as the global market increasingly looks to Australia as a replacement source for commodities such as food staples in the wake of disruptions to the US agricultural sector after Hurricane Katrina. In fact the need for rebuilding materials, in the Gulf Coast of the United States, should boost Australian exports and provide further help to the Aussie dollar. |
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发表于 2005-9-5 12:56
