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发表于 2017-2-11 10:02
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Fascinatingly, BHP has a different strategy. Yes, BHP is looking to use all the modern technologies to improve the productivity of its mines. But it is not an enthusiastic explorer for new deposits around the world. BHP (along with Rio) has just had a fantastic half-year, but it will be even better this year if the current prices hold. BHP is clearly going to distribute a lot of its spare cash to its shareholders.
But BHP's chairman, Jac Nasser, and chief executive Andrew Mackenzie were called up by Trump prior to his inauguration. Trump wants BHP to invest heavily in its US oil and gas reserves because he wants to develop energy in the US to support his infrastructure and industrial expansion plans. And the first installment has been this week's $2.9 billion commitment to develop the Mad Dog 2 field in the Gulf of Mexico. Of course, in the process it might send the price of oil and gas down.
And Trump offered the Big Australian the carrot of much lower tax rates in the US to entice BHP. We do not know just how much money BHP is going to commit to US development but my guess is that it will substantial. BHP is a long-term bull on oil prices. Meanwhile, the fact that China is reducing its electric arc furnace capacity (which uses scrap as a raw material) means that more iron ore will be needed to support steel production.
Understandably Rio was not wooed by President Trump and the clear message from Rio is that it's going to be in the business of rewarding its shareholders. The market was a bit disappointed at the latest cash distribution but it's clearly going to get bigger. The group does have some projects which may well be developed in the future but, after a terrible time following the Alcan acquisition, Rio wants to combine its much improved productivity and higher prices with unprecedented rewards to shareholders. |
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