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The comments on that webpage explained why...
The comments by kristoph,
"I take it your jobsian response indicates you understand the research so let's review ...
1) you understand that the iphone is available to ~35% of US subscribers while the Androis is available to 100%
2) you presumably understand that, at some point in the future - perhaps next month perhaps in 2 years - the iPhone will be available to a much large percentage of US consumers (lets say it will double)
3) you understand that a good part of Android growth is 2 for 1 pricing
4) you surelly recognize the iPhone has not been updated in 12 months while a slew of great android devices have been launched and have been heavily promoted
So from these facts you draw the conclusion that the iPhone is headed for 10% market share? And you don't think your biased at all?"
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"Yes, well, except that if you compare Apple's to Apple's (no pun intended) then - from the article:
AT&T has 32% of smart phone market in the US. Apple has 21% of the US market, all of it from AT&T.
So 2/3 AT&T customers, who presumably have a choice and can purchase a much cheaper device, prefer the iPhone. Indeed, I am an AT&T customer, and AT&T regularly sends me offers for free or 2/1 smart phones.
My issue here is that your just offering your opinions and twisting the data to mean what you want it to mean.
Indeed, if you were to project Apple's market share based on the total market size it would only grow (dramatically), not decline. Now todays statistics are not a good indicator of future market conditions but, really, just pulling a number of the air is ridiculous.
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