澳洲地产新闻 ~~~~~~ 4月14日至今~~~~~~~~持续更新中

悉尼置业

原帖由 NND 于 2010-4-21 23:03 发表
楼主觉得房价还会上升到什么时候？？给点个人意见。谢谢

楼价的上升是必然的， 只是时快时慢而已。 当然经济好的时候有些区长的很慢， 经济不好的时候有些区继续疯长。 所以选区挺重要，时间段也重要， 到年底前个人觉得还是大升值期间。 另挑区挑华人喜欢但又不滥， 有发展的比较好。 我一个月前刚在wolli creek买了套房； 我个人还是很看好那里的。 前几年没怎么涨， 现在配合政府政策。 该是时候了。

NND

WC那边迟早会成为一个大的枢纽。。现在还在建设中。不错的区。我也看好。不过我下一套肯定往kograh那边去了

NND

原帖由 chengtbb 于 2010-4-22 08:10 发表


感觉房价总体肯定是不断会上升的，只是快慢的问题。就像菜店的菜价，还不是一年比一年贵了。你说房价能不涨吗？

哈哈哈生姜是么？？~

SKYJYL

哎，奇怪，今天的新闻呢。又没新闻啊。

悉尼置业

今天新闻来了, 白天要上班, 年轻客户咨询又在晚上, 基本上忙完了也这个时候了, 对不住大家了

快成零点播报了, 下面正题

今天的新闻将带给人们更多的思考:

Demand fuels housing boom
Date: April 8, 2010
Publication:  Sydney Morning Herald (subscribe)


The governor of the Reserve Bank of Australia, Glenn Stevens, granted his first TV interview as governor this week to warn people that property prices were "getting quite high" and of the dangers of taking on too much mortgage debt.

Speaking on Channel Seven's top-rating Sunrise program with David Koch, Stevens said: "I think it is a mistake to assume that a, you know, riskless, easy, guaranteed way to prosperity is just to be leveraged up into property.

You know, it isn't going to be that easy." It was blunt talk for a central banker and the message was clear - people should pause for thought before embarking on a mortgage so big it would keep them in hock into old age.

Although he didn't say as much in those words, Stevens concentrated on the near-term prospects of more rate rises.

"We cut interest rates to what we call emergency settings when we had an emergency," he said, referring to the global financial crisis.

"Once the emergency has passed and things gradually look more normal, then it's not wise to leave interest rates right down at rock bottom any longer than we need."

Just in case anyone watching still missed the point, there was this: "And you shouldn't assume they'll stay low because that assumption will prove to be, you know, unfortunate."

Property prices are mostly beholden to demand. Annual migration is running at 300,000 a year. Since World War II, average annual migration has run at about 100,000 a year.

It's a big jump but it is off a population of 22 million, which is twice the population of the mid-1960s. But even in growth-rate terms, it's the biggest migration program since the late 1960s and among the biggest in the world. Significantly, the number of new arrivals needing somewhere to live is much larger than 300,000.

That's because, unlike the 1960s, Australia now has a foreign student population of several hundreds of thousands on temporary visas. Another factor that has the potential to put upward pressure on prices is the government's changes to foreign ownership rules.

A raft of changes came into effect a year ago. The government insists on calling them merely "administrative streamlining". Developers can now sell all of their off-the-plan apartments to foreigners.

Previously half were reserved for local buyers. The biggest change concerns the holders of temporary visas. Under the old rules, foreign investors were restricted to buying off-the-plan apartments.

Under the new rules, those on temporary visas, which includes student visas where the term is at least 12 months, can purchase a property, including established property, and, after they return home, rent the property out for investment.

Under the old rules, student-visa holders were limited to purchases of up to $300,000 on established dwellings and were required to sell the property on returning overseas.

This change is likely to widen the pool of property available to the parents of students studying in Australia. As well as the huge amount of pent-up demand for housing, there's the under-supply.

The managing director of BIS Shrapnel, Rob Mellor, says this is the worst imbalance between supply and demand he has seen in his 26 years following the property market.

In 2001-02, the number of new-dwelling commencements in NSW was about 47,000 and now it's running at about 24,000. Yet in Victoria, commencements are running at about 50,000, a record.

The difference is startling given both state governments operate in the same economic climate with the same interest rates.

Mellor sheets the blame to the NSW government for not releasing enough fringe land (going back to the 1990s), poor infrastructure planning and high levies on developers.

Even with higher interest rates, there's no reason for thinking house prices will stop rising.

(全文完!)
看完了,大家有什么感想?
1政府已经意识到了留学生买房的问题, 也同样注意到了移民人口的飞速增长,.
2 去年4月颁布的房地产规定是否还适应目前的情况
3 加息并无法解决房价飞涨的问题, 而只是给本地居民, 尤其购买非移民人口选择的住宅区的本地澳洲居民带来不必要的加息痛苦.
4 政府土地批准明显没有跟上发展的节奏.
结论: 即使不断加息, 没有任何道理可以抑制房价的飞涨.

咋办呢?
好的方面: 放松土地批准, 但是至少依旧需要5年时间去平衡供求关系. 房价依然继续上扬.
坏的方面: 政府要仔细斟酌政策的改变, 如处理不当也许是留学生 真正站出来痛骂这个政府的时候了. 除此之外大量的衍生问题需要政府解决. 归根结底: 澳洲政府是否需要这大量的海外移民呢?

下面是各位的讨论时间. 那种情况发生的可能性大呢?

今天的新闻尤其应该标大体,  但是以后为了平和大家的心态, 我还是选择用较为让大家舒适的字体吧.

[ 本帖最后由 悉尼置业 于 2010-4-23 11:13 编辑 ]

NND

原帖由 悉尼置业 于 2010-4-23 01:40 发表
今天新闻来了, 白天要上班, 年轻客户咨询又在晚上, 基本上忙完了也这个时候了, 对不住大家了

快成零点播报了, 下面正题

今天的新闻将带给人们更多的思考:

Demand fuels housing boom
Date: April 8, 2010
...

最好是重要的信息给大字体。一目了然。

NND

个人感觉。大选年。总要给点实惠。加息会增加负担。对房价的抑制作用不大。不然这么多次加息。房价仍然一直上涨

gyh

中国政府已经开始出重拳抑制房价了，澳大利亚也会的，泡沫太大，国家也怕。

悉尼置业

拭目以待吧

bourne126

悉尼2036年住宅土地主要以西北，西南两个开发区为主线，但只能满足新增人口的30%需求，70%的新增人口将住进沿铁路线建设的高密度住宅中。

悉尼置业

今日新闻.
新的地产政策调整可能很快出台了, 首次买房补助很有可能削减, 但是不太可能取消. 似乎更多的探讨是针对供应方面, . 但是这次会议将深度讨论这次的地产价格飙升中买家的买房动机因素, 来决定解决方案.

Housing review aims to alleviate price pressures
Date: April 22, 2010
Publication:  Sydney Morning Herald (subscribe)
The federal and state governments are moving to ease the pressure on house prices by commissioning a review of factors curtailing the supply of new houses and artificially pushing up the demand for housing.

The popular first home owners scheme, which offers a $7000 government grant to people buying their first home, will also be included in the review to assess whether it is driving house prices higher by giving home buyers more spending power.

The Prime Minister and state and territory leaders endorsed a new housing supply and affordability agenda at this week's Council of Australian Governments meeting, which was dominated by health reform.

In the COAG communique, the leaders said the housing market was facing substantial pressures because population growth and economic recovery were fuelling strong demand from home buyers while the supply of new houses was not responding well to this demand.

''Unless demand-side pressures are well understood and supply-side constraints are identified and addressed, it is likely there will be greater pressure on house prices,'' they said.

The communique said the leaders would focus in the coming months on reforming government policies - including federal and state tax policies - slowing down development of new housing stock or artificially stimulating demand.

It also suggested measures to put competitive pressure on developers sitting on large parcels of land to bring housing blocks to the marketplace more quickly.

House prices in Australia's capital cities returned to double-digit annual growth rates last year after slumping in 2008.

The latest figures compiled by property market analysts RP Data-Rismark show house prices rose 1.4 per cent in February after jumping 2 per cent in January and rising 13.6 per cent last year. Housing affordability is also being affected by rising interest rates.

The COAG meeting asked federal and state treasurers to report back later this year on housing supply and demand issues including:

- The impact of the first home owners scheme on stimulating demand;

- Federal and state taxation settings;

- Potential reforms to land aggregation, zoning and planning;

- The efficiency and effectiveness of land release and housing supply targets; and

- Housing development infrastructure charges.

COAG will also examine private holdings of large parcels of land ''to assess the scope for increasing competition and bringing land quickly to market''.

A federal government official, who did not want to be named, said the review reflected a concern in Treasury that there needed to be a thorough examination of all the factors influencing housing trends.

''This is not about ending the first home owners scheme; it's about trying to understand the impact of all of these various policies on supply and demand and affordability,'' the official said





[ 本帖最后由 悉尼置业 于 2010-4-24 01:33 编辑 ]

悉尼置业

插播一条自己的广告:

今年最令人期待的楼盘之一，meriton的新盘。
地点在arncliffe。也许在现在目前看似微妙的地产情形中. 只有满足一定因素的区域或楼盘才能真金不怕火燎.

条件1: 合理的价格
条件2: 真正是属于政府规划带, 而且有确实的周边项目
条件3: 所谓的location location location

该楼盘满足
条件1: 在现在市场中真正价格名副其实的不多, 但是和去年同期比, 现在这个价格也是可以接受范围内的
条件2: 政府3大规划Rhodes(较早), Greensquare towncenter(就是为何去年zetland waterloo一带升值飞速的直接原因 虽然这个项目仅仅是个开端, 而且mertion那里的项目也仅仅是第一期), 以及目前刚刚浮出水面, 也是最新落实的政策, (Wolli creek CBD, 配合的方案比如2倍大于rhodes Ikea的新Ikea的确定2011年底完工, 2012年的购物中心,wolli creek 火车站的改造和商务楼群等等)
条件3: 经princess Hwy 仅仅10km至市区(非直线距离而是实际距离), 1公里东部海岸, 比邻1号5号高速.

有消息称，2房50万起, 但以目前附近的房价, 47万起的可能也很大。

2010年5月1号(周6)，正式开盘, 一切谜底即将揭开。
如果现在是持币观望~
如果你了解Meriton, 可能知道它绝对不是质量最好的顶级开发商, 但是如果你更了解meriton, 你可能知道它在地产指南针的霸主作用.
如果你考虑投资
如果你考虑未来的自住
那么这是否是个投资机会, 你应该调查思考。(已经有人在我爱我家板块发了关于wolli creek周边的探讨,大家可以参考下)

如果想深入了解, 可以加我msn:han_han43@hotmail.com 或者致电给我0432583094

夜深人静我也休息了. 祝大家放松精神好好过个longweekend吧

[ 本帖最后由 悉尼置业 于 2010-4-24 02:13 编辑 ]

NND

Ancliff？？？是火车站周围的那个楼盘么？？？我看已经售出30%

悉尼置业

那里已经卖出60%以上了, 小开发商的,新的meriton楼盘就在那楼盘的马路对面, 更安静些. 两个楼盘我们都在代理.

悉尼置业

今天的消息很关键, 新的政策出台.
对于海外买房者必须要关注.

• Government cracks down on homebuyers
• Foreigners will have to sell as they leave
• Hotline set up to 'dob in' rule breachers

FOREIGN students and temporary residents will face tough new rules when buying a house and will have to sell on leaving Australia.

The Federal Government's crackdown, to be announced today, reverses its December 2008 decision to relax foreign ownership rules.
Bowing to public pressure, the Government will also introduce a hotline for concerned locals to "dob in" foreigners they suspect of breaching the rules.
Under the rules, temporary residents and foreign students will be:
SCREENED by the Foreign Investment Review Board to determine if they will be allowed to buy a property.
FORCED to sell property when they leave Australia.
PUNISHED if they do not sell by a government-ordered sale plus confiscation of any capital gain
REQUIRED to build on vacant land within two years of purchase to stop "land banking". Failure to do so would also lead to a government-ordered sale.
There have been growing claims that real estate prices have been forced up by wealthy Asian families, especially from China and Korea, buying up property and outbidding locals at auctions.
The Government is concerned by anecdotal reports that foreigners are "collecting" houses, often in the same street, and leaving them empty when there is a shortage of housing.
Assistant Treasurer Senator Nick Sherry said he wanted to ensure foreigners did not put "pressure on housing availability for Australians".
Treasury is investigating 50 suspicious residential buys by foreigners in Melbourne.
Senator Sherry said the changes would "ensure that investment is in Australia's interests and in line with community expectations".

He said the Government would catch cheats with new powers allowing it to cross-match information from Land Victoria and the Immigration Department.
It will also rely on members of the public to report suspicious property buyers to a new hotline: 1 800 031 227.
"I want to make sure everyone in the community has a direct line to report their concerns," Senator Sherry said.
"If you do the wrong thing, you will be found out."
New penalties, which may be linked to the value of the property, will apply to buyers, sellers and estate agents.
There is no data showing how many properties have been bought by temporary residents.
Since the Government's 2008 change, the median house price in Melbourne has risen from $450,000 to $524,500.
Foreigners living overseas are still prevented from buying existing homes and only allowed to buy or build new ones.

[ 本帖最后由 悉尼置业 于 2010-4-25 23:20 编辑 ]

悉尼置业

澳洲的房价一直是在涨的~别的我就不多说了。



这个消息, 目前政策还没落实.我这么看待的

1. 政府犯浑, 不用说了, 怕了我们中国人

2. 大选将到, 拉拢本地澳洲人选票的人心的确是必要的

3. 如果政策是回退, 那么主要是对购买二手楼盘的海外买家, 尤其是house的受到的影响比较大.

4. 不知道他们的政策在去年4月到现在改政策的这段时间的买家, 是否apply.

5. 政策如果改变太大, 对澳洲的地产影响太过巨大. 他们自己也是对自己没法交代. 和不敢做的.

我们下一步要看的是政府对新移民的政策.  关联很大

[ 本帖最后由 悉尼置业 于 2010-4-26 13:24 编辑 ]

NND

原来如此。。。。我每天上下班都看到那个楼盘。不过还没有完全起来。。很多builder在南区盖楼

悉尼置业

澳洲地产新闻更新~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
昨天的新闻大家肯定都很关注，以后有什么消息 我会及时的更新的。
今天我们关注一下澳洲这一周的清盘率的情况~

这周的拍卖总数量和上周是一样的，但是清盘率比上周有了一个很小的回落。
但是在总价值上 比上一周多了16m。
从地区上看，悉尼市中心15km范围内的拍卖成功率很高，但是在边远的郊区，最高只有71%的清盘率。

悉尼置业

澳洲地产新闻今日更新~~~~~~~~~~~
今天就一个图标。
但是这个图标反映了很多问题！~

这是澳洲shm网站做的一个调查，是否赞成澳洲政府限制海外投资进军房地产？
结果很清楚，85%以上的同意。
政府的这招也是为了大选。
有任何新的进展，我们会马上跟进！

悉尼置业

澳洲地产新闻  今日更新~~~~~~~~~~~
Sydney's housing shortage to continue.
这是smh今天自己定的标题。怎么感觉也想在抽自己的嘴巴，昨天还说要限制境外资金进入房地产，今儿又来了这么一出！

BUILDING a new house on Sydney's fringe costs about $200,000 more than it would in other capital cities, ensuring the city's severe housing shortage will only get worse, according to a yearly report card of housing supply commissioned by the federal government.
The report by the National Housing Supply Council estimates a shortfall of 178,400 properties across the country, a gap projected to grow to 308,000 within five years and 640,600 by 2028.
悉尼的房屋成本是20万澳币，远远的高于其他的城市，这是悉尼房价高的原因之一。
而政府对于土地的过度的管理，和在批地程序上的繁琐，导致了悉尼整个房地产市场呈现房屋紧缺的态势，并且到2028年这一数字将到达64万。



另：有消息称，限制海外投资本土房地产的法律将在本周五颁布并实施。

悉尼置业

澳洲地产新闻今日更新~~~~~~~~
澳洲几大城市的中间价格，和近一年的涨幅！~~~

大家慢慢看，别的我就不多说了。
还有就是关于买房新政策的问题。我今天看到smh上的漫画，感觉很符合现在情形~

悉尼置业

澳洲地产新闻 更新~~~~~~~~~~~~~关注一下澳洲的新政~~~~~~~~~~~~

• Government cracks down on homebuyers
• Foreigners will have to sell as they leave
• Hotline set up to 'dob in' rule breachers

FOREIGN students and temporary residents will face tough new rules when buying a house and will have to sell on leaving Australia.

The Federal Government's crackdown, to be announced today, reverses its December 2008 decision to relax foreign ownership rules.
Bowing to public pressure, the Government will also introduce a hotline for concerned locals to "dob in" foreigners they suspect of breaching the rules.
Under the rules, temporary residents and foreign students will be:
SCREENED by the Foreign Investment Review Board to determine if they will be allowed to buy a property.
FORCED to sell property when they leave Australia.
PUNISHED if they do not sell by a government-ordered sale plus confiscation of any capital gain.
REQUIRED to build on vacant land within two years of purchase to stop "land banking".
大家肯定也有所耳闻，澳洲的房屋新政已经出台
具体有这么几点：
1：如果海外学生和tr人士想购买澳洲的房产，需要向 Foreign Investment Review Board 部门申请。
2：海外学生和tr人士离境前（这里是指不在澳洲生活下去了），必须出售自己的房产.
3:购买的土地必须在2年之内开发。

Foreign Investment Review Board 网站地址：http://www.firb.gov.au/content/default.asp

悉尼置业

澳洲地产新闻 今日更新~~~~~~~~~~~~
今天的新闻还是关于房价的。
去年一年的悉尼各大城市的增长率基本上都在20%。最少的也有10%的增长率。

明天就能知道澳洲这个月是否加息，我们拭目以待。

悉尼置业

澳洲地产新闻  今日更新~~~~~~~~
今天央行加息了~~
其他的我不想多说，请大家看两个图表。
第一个是澳洲利息的走势图~

第二个是 澳洲人是否支持本次 央行的加息~

在上图也可以映射出，是否加息，央行每次都是左右为难。

NND

我就喜欢看你的数据。拿数据说话才是王道

irisjiangyy

谢谢楼主的贡献，非常有用！！！！

悉尼置业

澳洲地产新闻  更新~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
Homebuyers expected rates to rise, but not this fast
Mortgage stress affecting nearly 40 per cent of recent buyers
Warning of 6 per cent rate by end of 2011


MORE than 90,000 recent first-home buyers could be forced out of their homes because interest rates have risen faster than expected.

They have been caught out by the Reserve Bank's increase in rates - yesterday's increase to 4.5 per cent was the third in three months and the sixth since October.

The hike means repayments on a $300,000 mortgage will increase by about $50 a month to nearly $2000, and economists are warning that there will be more pain.

Many believe that rates will hit 6 per cent by the end of next year.
因为这次澳洲的加息，影响了全澳40%的新的置业者，并且，在2011年官方利率预测会达到6%。
如果您贷款30万，那么这次的加息会导致您一个星期多还50刀，一个月的还款总额接近2000刀。

stsc

原帖由 悉尼置业 于 2010-5-4 10:48 发表
澳洲地产新闻 更新~~~~~~~~~~~~~关注一下澳洲的新政~~~~~~~~~~~~

Government cracks down on homebuyers

Foreigners will have to sell as they leave

Hotline set up to 'dob in' rule breachers
FOREI ...

请问这个第二条，对那些在本次新政之前的TR购买的房产适用吗，即TR在此新政之前购买的房产在他们离开澳洲时也必须卖掉吗

mantou

原帖由 stsc 于 2010-5-10 11:44 发表


请问这个第二条，对那些在本次新政之前的TR购买的房产适用吗，即TR在此新政之前购买的房产在他们离开澳洲时也必须卖掉吗

适用. 只要自住过了必须卖,即使买的是新房. 也就是说只鼓励海外人士买新房做投资房出租.

Mandy99

好看，支持