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最新的民调显示总理陆克文的支持率继续下滑。
在哥本哈根气候会谈失败和Tony Abbott登上反对党领袖宝座之后,对总理和他的气候变化政策的支持率大幅下滑。
最新的Herald/Nielsen民意调查也显示,虽然联盟党的支持率有很大提高,但是如果选举现在进行的话,现任政府仍将轻松地赢得大选。
这项在Abbott取代Turnbull后Herald首次进行的调查访问了1400名选民。陆克文作为适合总理的支持率为58%,下滑了9个百分点。同时Abbott的支持率为31%,比Turnbull要高10个百分点。
在前18个月,对政府的碳排放交易计划(ETS)的支持率一直稳定在66%,但是最新的调查显示支持率下滑了10个百分点至56%,而反对的上升4个百分点至29%。
在Abbott取代Turnbull后立刻宣布联盟党不再支持ETS,将之比喻成“大增税计划”。上周反对党宣布了一个替代计划,根据该方案,产业界将自愿消减排放量以换取纳税人出资的补助。
45%的人支持反对党的方案,而39%的人支持政府的方案。
但是在气候变化总体政策上,陆克文依然被认为比Abbott更可靠。当被问及支持谁的气候变化总体应对措施时,43%支持陆克文,30%支持Abbott。
“有件事情一直未变,那就是选民对气候变化政策感到困惑”
调查显示在两党投票率方面工党以54%领先联盟党的46%。联盟党的首次投票率上升4个百分点至41%,而工党保持42%不变。
对陆克文的满意率减少6个百分点至60%,不满意率为33%。
对Abbott的满意率为44%,不满意率为41%
“对于Abbott来说是个不错的开始,但是反对党还有很长的路要走。如果选举现在举行,陆克文政府将会赢得跟上此相同的多数席位再度当选”
http://www.smh.com.au/environmen ... -20100207-nkxc.html
Climate policy backlash takes shine off Rudd
February 8, 2010
SUPPORT for Kevin Rudd and his flagship policy, the emissions trading scheme, has fallen sharply following the failure of the Copenhagen climate change conference and Tony Abbott's ascension to the opposition leadership.
The latest Herald/Nielsen poll also shows although the Coalition has made significant inroads into Labor's support, the Government would still win an election comfortably if it were held now.
The poll - the first conducted by the Herald since Mr Abbott replaced Malcolm Turnbull on December 1 - sampled 1400 voters from Thursday night to Saturday night following a week of robust parliamentary debate over climate change.
Mr Rudd's rating as preferred prime minister has plunged 9 points to 58 per cent since the last poll in late November, while Mr Abbott is favoured by 31 per cent of voters, 10 points higher than Mr Turnbull's final rating.
For the previous 18 months, support for an ETS was steady at two-thirds of voters, or 66 per cent. But the latest poll shows that since late November, support has dived 10 points to 56 per cent, while opposition to the ETS has risen 4 points from 25 per cent to 29 per cent.
After Mr Abbott deposed Mr Turnbull, he immediately abandoned Coalition support for an ETS, branded it a ''great big tax'' and, last week, announced a rival scheme in which businesses would voluntarily reduce emissions in return for taxpayer-funded payments.
The poll finds 45 per cent prefer Mr Abbott's emissions reduction fund while 39 per cent support Mr Rudd's ETS.
However, Mr Rudd retains more credibility on climate change than Mr Abbott. When asked whose broad approach to climate change they supported most, 43 per cent of voters backed Mr Rudd while 30 per cent backed Mr Abbott.
''One thing that hasn't changed is the relatively high level of confusion in the electorate about climate-change policy,'' the Nielsen pollster John Stirton said.
The poll shows Labor leading the Coalition on a two-party-preferred basis by 54 per cent to 46 per cent. The Coalition's primary vote has shot up 4 points to 41 per cent, while Labor's has stayed steady at 42 per cent.
Mr Rudd's approval rating fell 6 points to a still high 60 per cent while his disapproval rose 4 points to 33 per cent.
Mr Abbott's approval rating was 44 per cent, which is 3 points higher than the final rating of his predecessor, and his disapproval rating was 41 per cent, 10 points up on Mr Turnbull's final showing.
''This is a good start for Mr Abbott but the Opposition has a way to go,'' Mr Stirton said. ''If an election were held now, the Rudd government would be returned with its majority largely intact.''
With internal polling showing similar results, Mr Abbott told the ABC yesterday he was not getting carried away. ''We've made a good start but that's all you can say,'' he said.
Mr Turnbull will speak today in support of the ETS and is under pressure from colleagues to abstain from voting rather than cross the floor. Mr Abbott said yesterday he would prefer Mr Turnbull did not cross the floor but he was free to do so. ''My argument is with Kevin Rudd, not Malcolm Turnbull.''
The Government is pressing ahead with its ETS but is looking to change the subject to health and the economy and yesterday it began targeting Mr Abbott and his finance spokesman, Barnaby Joyce, as economic risks, citing the emissions fund as an example.
''Mr Abbott [is] a big economic risk … a risk on climate change and a risk to the economy,'' the Deputy Prime Minister, Julia Gillard, told the Nine Network. ''You can't, as the alternate prime minister, spit out policies that simply don't add up.''
[ 本帖最后由 BOC 于 2010-2-8 14:24 编辑 ] |
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