证券外汇今日: 2|主题: 16471

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近期策略-一动不如一静最后跟贴：最后发表：巴乔	jeffxia 2015-2-5 08:12	192092	巴乔 2015-2-7 16:11
问问COMMSEC REJECTION FEE 最后跟贴：REJECTION FEE 是$54 一次的。不用担心，如果楼主初犯的话记得打电话给他们waive 掉就好的，下次小心就好。最后发表：lengyi3211	psp8023 2015-2-6 16:58	11034	lengyi3211 2015-2-7 14:55
汇率快见4.5了！最后跟贴： rogershan 发表于 2015-2-6 23:39 楼主这么一吆喝我怎么感觉澳元要涨了我感觉冯巩要做外婆了。最后发表：mwatch ...2	chier819 2015-2-4 18:34	323235	mwatch 2015-2-6 22:57
（转）中国央行降准！最后跟贴：最后发表：MELZGZ3155	guguburra 2015-2-4 20:56	211719	MELZGZ3155 2015-2-6 20:17
中国央行大幅降准，个别达4.5%，澳洲央行腹背受敌最后跟贴：最后发表：MELZGZ3155	mwatch 2015-2-4 20:38	222424	MELZGZ3155 2015-2-6 20:05
Hzn 最后跟贴：有高人知道為什麼horizon oil stock一直都不上去的原因嗎？太奇怪了最后发表：jacky31	jacky31 2015-1-23 12:53	2845	jacky31 2015-2-6 17:43
CURRENCY ANALYSIS - US Dollar through 2015 最后跟贴：本帖最后由 lostinbrisbane 于 2015-2-6 14:48 编辑 FYI, 参考参考 US Dollar through 2015 Long-term Trend Remains Higher… and the Ruble will remain in Rubble In our second annual long-term U.S. Dollar Outlook, our medium-term and long-term bullish outlooks from 2014 remain intact for 2015. Some goals have been achieved, while others remain on target. In addition, a major shift has occurred for the Russian Ruble, and our 2015 forecast adds fuel to the U.S. Dollar. EUR/USD Outlook [attach]1255922[/attach] Over the last six years, we have stressed the 7 year cycle that the EUR/USD has been developing. Our long-term forecast has continued to stress a top in the EUR/USD in 2009, and continue to forecast the subsequent decline to 1.1555, out to January 2015. We continue to forecast a weak corrective rally, now to 1.2335, down from 1.2790, into May 2015 before resuming the final decline to .9890 strong long-term support through October 2015. We are forecasting a subsequent broad medium-term consolidation (.9890 – 1.1555) into early 2016. In order to protect investors, we continue to focus on where risk management would terminate our long-term bullish forecast for the EUR/USD. Only a monthly close back above 1.3435 would terminate our bullish forecast, and result in a rally in EUR/USD to 1.4470 over the subsequent six months in a higher volatile range view of (1.2790 – 1.4470) into 2015. GBP/USD Outlook [attach]1255923[/attach] GBP/USD has been technically medium-term neutral for five years, in an increasingly neutral, broad, long-term outlook. The massive wedge formation of the last 30 years has now tightened relatively to (1.4245 – 2.0155). After the forecast retest of 1.7045 in June 2014, the monthly close back below 1.6540 eroded medium-term technicals back to neutral/bearish. We are forecasting a decline to retest 1.4815 into June 2015 in a neutral/bearish medium-term outlook (1.4815 – 1.6460) over the next 6 months. Only a monthly close back above 1.6460 would avert the decline to 1.4815 and result in a weak rally to retest 1.7045 strong long-term resistance over the subsequent two months. NOTE: EUR/GBP still forecast to decline to .7030 over the next 12 months. USD/JPY Outlook [attach]1255924[/attach] The decline in USD/JPY to 75.55 in late 2011 produced the strongest medium-term and long-term divergences of the previous ten years. This rare and very significant occurrence that we have stressed for the last three years has produced the forecast long-term rally in USD/JPY to 118.80. We are forecasting a subsequent weak retest of 112.30 through January 2015 to alleviated mixed long-term technicals, then higher again to 120.70 into March 2015 in a less volatile medium-term outlook through August 2015 (112.30 – 124.15). Again, for risk management purposes, our long-term outlook would only change if there was a monthly close back below 96.80, terminating further long-term rallies and resulting in a broad neutral medium-term outlook (87.10 – 107.15) over the subsequent year. NOTE: EUR/JPY medium-term objective 148.10 is complete. We are now forecasting a broad, medium-term consolidation (134.15 – 149.25) into August 2015. USD/CHF Outlook [attach]1255921[/attach] As mentioned in last year’s long-term outlook, from the days of trading currencies interbank through the 1980’s and early 1990’s, as well as today, USD/CHF has always been my barometer for imminent changes to the U.S. Dollar. After surviving the .8890 critical monthly close last April left medium-term and long-term technicals neutral/bullish, we continue to forecast a rally in USD/CHF to 1.0525, out to March 2015 from May 2014. We continue to forecast a subsequent strong rally to 1.2295, down from 1.3085, into October 2015 in our ongoing long-term bullish outlook. Only a monthly close back below .9170 would terminate the forecast rally and commence a decline to .8240 strong long-term support over the subsequent five months. NOTE: EUR/CHF, the secondary but important directional indicator to USD/CHF, continues to sit at the 1.1990 critical monthly close. We continue to forecast a rally, now to 1.2590, down from 1.2650 through June 2015 in a neutral/bullish medium-term outlook. Only a monthly close below 1.1990 would terminate the forecast rally and result in a broad neutral/bearish medium-term outlook (1.1740 – 1.2390) over the subsequent six months. USD/RUB Outlook [attach]1255925[/attach] The “Ruble in Rubble” title above was not an exaggeration but more a realistic comment about the forecast for the next year. Although the last five years remained in the (23.80 – 36.70) relatively stable range, not to mention the even more muted range from 1999 to 2009, the meteoric four month rally in USD/RUB has produced strong multiple short- and medium-term divergences. We are forecasting a weak retest of 50.40 resulting strong short-term and weak medium-term support through January 2015, then higher to retest 67.65 resulting strong medium-term pivot point into March 2015 in a less volatile medium-term consolidation into September 2015 (48.65 – 79.50) to alleviate the divergent medium-term conditions. Only a monthly close back below 47.70 would again neutralize the technicals for the USD/RUB and yield a retest of 36.70 over a month. In summary, we continue to be bullish on the U.S Dollar for the next 10 months. EUR/USD, GBP/USD, and USD/CHF are still bullish in the forecast multi-year trend. Only USD/JPY has achieved its long-term objectives and will become the stable anchor in the volatile U.S. Dollar rally ahead. The severe weakness in the Ruble will also lend support to the U.S. Dollar over the next 10 months. 原文出处 http://fxtradermagazine.com/curr ... ar-through-2015.php 最后发表：lostinbrisbane	lostinbrisbane 2015-2-6 14:45	0733	lostinbrisbane 2015-2-6 14:45
有了解ANZ NOTE 3 的吗？该不该买呢？最后跟贴：还是不碰它。最后发表：家庭主妇	sydnewcomer 2015-2-6 11:09	101180	家庭主妇 2015-2-6 13:39
仅仅降准是不够的，降息，降息，降息。最后跟贴： The_Guy 发表于 2015-2-6 13:25 能科普一下降准是什么意思吗刚才百度了一下，降准大致意思就是降低银行放在央行的准备金的比例。也就是说 ... 也感兴趣英文译名，所以查了，准备金率叫做 Reserve requirement ratio China Cuts Reserve Requirement Ratio Move Frees Up About 500 Billion Yuan in Additional Funds That Banks Can Lend 最后发表：Mintlolly	毛巴马主席 2015-2-6 08:48	191522	Mintlolly 2015-2-6 13:03
圣诞零售增长接近于0，澳元崩跌，经济一片悲观最后跟贴：再不跌到3有人就要被逼疯了，眼看山区房价又涨了最后发表：xiaoyujun123 ...2	mwatch 2015-2-5 10:40	364027	xiaoyujun123 2015-2-6 12:16
下周不降息可能性已经基本是0了最后跟贴：最后发表：elight ...2 3 4	mwatch 2015-1-28 10:52	1059567	elight 2015-2-6 11:24
枪打出头鸟，澳元恐已成为狙击做空目标最后跟贴： superxeonman 发表于 2015-2-4 09:09 澳联储联手国际多个澳币空头机构一起把澳币做空 XX! 最后发表：clark_2 ...2	毛巴马主席 2015-2-4 04:29	353388	clark_2 2015-2-6 09:35
人民日报：不印钞票印股票监管层发新股解决融资难最后跟贴：思路没错,下个蓄水池最后发表：bangalow	aqv 2015-2-5 09:20	41081	bangalow 2015-2-6 08:52
过大年压岁钱行情，上证指突破3400点有望最后跟贴：大盘跌，还有涨停股，还是看个股最后发表：richiz ...2 3	毛巴马主席 2015-2-4 05:33	834563	richiz 2015-2-6 07:00
想问一下BOE 的ASSET PURCHASE PLAN 最后跟贴：这个是不是相当于英国的QE? 是不是出来以后英镑会跌? 欧洲预测英国通胀要走低是怎么样？最后发表：我要好起来	我要好起来 2015-2-5 20:44	0709	我要好起来 2015-2-5 20:44
昨夜澳元大V出场最后跟贴： superxeonman 发表于 2015-2-4 05:47 又见可怜的澳币多军见到澳币在春药的作用下烧鸦这煞笔，动不动技术面？大V是触到步林季轨下轨，基本面是在配合技术面。你去等25c吧，一边等一边橹最后发表：2happiness	fxdaily 2015-2-4 07:17	71658	2happiness 2015-2-5 12:53
再转一篇文章，大家讨论最后跟贴： cui_ran 发表于 2015-2-5 00:17 这一节，咱们以“蛋定”二字开头，如何？为什么要“蛋定”呢？因为“蛋定”了，才能想问题，才能想得全 ... 政治正确是争钱的基础！君不见美帝是禁止同邪恶国家做贸易等事情的。所以在哪个国家想发财，就必须紧跟这个国家的政治。难怪土豪要看新闻联播。。。最后发表：gagaet	cui_ran 2015-2-4 23:15	7997	gagaet 2015-2-5 09:36
本周重要经济数据 2月2日－ 2月7 日最后跟贴：最后发表：532308	wdmznzd 2015-2-1 22:57	231961	532308 2015-2-4 21:24
美元隔夜大跌，澳元一夜收复昨天降息失地最后跟贴：还有，石油4天涨了20% 最后发表：a-spec ...2	liu263 2015-2-4 04:55	384107	a-spec 2015-2-4 20:04
求证：这两天换汇有点紧张？最后跟贴： gagaet 发表于 2015-2-3 18:24 按LZ的说法，澳币必然大量外逃，澳股大跌。。。。 rba降息了，股市满血复活了。最后发表：lui_gi	malazhumao 2015-2-3 14:53	101413	lui_gi 2015-2-4 19:51
澳币大跌今天又回来了最后跟贴： superxeonman 发表于 2014-12-13 22:19 至少4.1再换吧，4.5太高了哦，是吗？4.1就不等了，4.5就满足了。最后发表：snappy	superxeonman 2014-12-12 06:54	142491	snappy 2015-2-4 19:21
国内外汇管制了？最后跟贴： gailyfish 发表于 2015-2-4 18:09 同一个名字2家也可以？那和前一个朋友说的一样啊我明天让他们去试试谢谢啦 ... 如果急等着钱，只能这么试试了，或者分二个银行，比如中行和建行，一天里分别汇二人的四个帐号，同一天里貌似没一笔完全一样的收款方信息了！我反正试过也没被查，尽量从形式上满足银行的要求吧，如果不是特别急的话！不过一般来说敢从银行走的都不是黑钱，只要不是太夸张应该没事的!理解LZ，呵呵！最后发表：candy3487	gailyfish 2015-2-3 20:47	282444	candy3487 2015-2-4 17:20
澳元一路跌入深坑，心情复杂最后跟贴：澳洲人民喜迎澳元下跌。最后发表：Gaucho ...2 3	WACT 2015-2-3 17:23	776566	Gaucho 2015-2-4 17:11
请问一下国内的五万每金换汇限制最后跟贴： yang5637 发表于 2015-2-4 16:06 换汇有限制，汇钱没限制。个人账户汇钱也有限制的好伐，简单讲，如果你一次汇US$50K, 银行肯定要问具体用途，提供相关证据。说不清用途或证据不充分，不给汇款。任何国外证券，信托基金账号、保险公司账号，房产公司账号都是禁止汇款的。这就是外汇管制做法。最后发表：johnny6768	ywolf 2015-2-3 21:50	101254	johnny6768 2015-2-4 15:34
AUDUSD交易, Long 最后跟贴：目标现在来了最后发表：fxdaily ...2	wdmznzd 2015-1-2 23:14	392938	fxdaily 2015-2-4 07:25
降息了！！！ 0.25% 最后跟贴： yuxiaoxinran 发表于 2015-2-3 16:20 我是6.0～6.4分段汇入的买房款～～～最低点也是6.0～～～～我也是分批购的呀，最高6.38.最低5.34，均价5.56 最后发表：wj28xy15 ...2	狗熊 2015-2-3 13:30	594851	wj28xy15 2015-2-3 23:57
大家千万不要接飞刀，澳元还要狂跌最后跟贴：I do 80 above. I bet usa share market will crash by the end of this year. 最后发表：zkm2003210 ...2	mwatch 2015-2-3 13:53	383635	zkm2003210 2015-2-3 21:49
有用COMMSEC的吗？请教几个账户的问题。最后跟贴： Roujuzi 发表于 2015-2-3 16:34 请教楼上cdia利息和netbank有差别吗？有差别，CDIA利息是阶梯上升的，但是最高阶梯50万以上，利息是2.5％ P.A.，1万以下是0.01％。 Netbank是恒定的2.50%。所以如果金额不是很大的前提下，建议放Netbank。（注以上利息没考虑今天的降息。）最后发表：linfeng01	annaapple 2015-2-3 14:25	32247	linfeng01 2015-2-3 20:38
79美分买澳元，父母知道了，晚上会心寒的落泪吧？最后跟贴： mwatch 发表于 2015-2-1 21:58 1. 我每个月工资都换美元，5年来如此 2. 我看空澳元已经看了不知道多久 LZ的世界排名是多少?/ 最后发表：tom22 ...2 3 4 5 6..8	mwatch 2015-1-25 16:49	21918664	tom22 2015-2-3 19:45
猜测不是预测：今天绝对不会降息最后跟贴：哈哈哈哈打脸打脸最后发表：iLeac ...2 3	kesai 2015-2-3 12:06	737402	iLeac 2015-2-3 18:58
今早上一看，澳元4.87了，很震惊！最后跟贴：一降息，4.81啦~ 最后发表：jilltwain ...2 3 4 5 6..8	bigtailcat 2015-1-30 08:32	21518369	jilltwain 2015-2-3 15:39
胡说八道最后跟贴： wuhahaha 发表于 2015-2-3 16:04 可怜了那些靠利息收入退休了的老人家。。。也是，这个时代变得节奏越来越快，逼着大家都要会理财最后发表：rongaikun	wuhahaha 2015-1-30 11:07	222153	rongaikun 2015-2-3 15:08
原油价格怎么就开始任性疯涨了呢最后跟贴：应该是见底了，虽然也许会在低位徘徊一阵子，再低很难了。最后发表：aulin	anklos 2015-2-3 10:15	151687	aulin 2015-2-3 15:01
降息了最后跟贴：At its meeting today, the Board decided to lower the cash rate by 25 basis points to 2.25 per cent, effective 4 February 2015. 最后发表：prophet	prophet 2015-2-3 13:41	0745	prophet 2015-2-3 13:41
为什么嫌钱总是嫌慢最后跟贴：本帖最后由 yuyan0730 于 2015-2-3 14:47 编辑澳币高点的时候换了港币买了港股如果现在换回差不多赚了一倍历时差不多一年半左右自己炒股就算亏了一千都感觉亏了好多都是贪心的心态什么时候能再进步点还有一点就是资金太少所以感觉赚的少蛇想吞像啊大家都有同样的心态吗真有人能做到别人贪心的时候我恐惧别人恐惧的时候我贪心吗最后发表：yuyan0730	yuyan0730 2015-2-3 12:56	0776	yuyan0730 2015-2-3 12:56
不懂外汇的世界最后跟贴：一錘子買賣最后发表：fxdaily	oznewstarter 2015-2-3 09:05	111022	fxdaily 2015-2-3 10:48
今天有个假冒砖家说人民币汇率坚挺，还说对中国不利最后跟贴：传说中的——”中恐最输“？最后发表：farmerzheng ...2	mwatch 2015-2-1 13:59	362415	farmerzheng 2015-2-2 21:30
下周打新太难打了最后跟贴：这种风格不像主席的贴阿最后发表：theforest	毛巴马主席 2015-2-2 20:06	2910	theforest 2015-2-2 20:36
澳大利压最后跟贴： lemonctp 发表于 2015-2-2 18:25 说奥比和人民币跌倒1比1的都是马甲不要开玩笑我看到的是澳币人民币2 不是1 所以我是澳币二哥不是澳币一哥最后发表：superxeonman ...2	稀泥稀土 2015-2-2 09:09	302651	superxeonman 2015-2-2 20:24
石油昨天涨了，对澳元有什么关系？最后跟贴：MARK 最后发表：生活就是在酿酒	多情圣手 2015-2-1 08:21	81377	生活就是在酿酒 2015-2-2 20:12