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本帖最后由 liu263 于 2014-10-25 14:36 编辑
原文链接：
http://m.smh.com.au/domain/real-estate-news/home-prices-flat-as-a-pancake-for-the-next-decade-20141024-11aspy.html
“Domain集团高级经济学家Andrew Wilson博士昨天说，下一个10年澳洲房价曲线将如同烤薄饼一样平。
资源繁荣已经过去，国际经济一团糟，投资者很快将会失去兴趣，“今后房地产价格将会非常平稳”， Wilson博士说。
甚至明星城市，悉尼，第三季度上升3.8%，全年上升16.6%，也会从去年的高点附近开始平稳。
悉尼有着全国最强的经济，强静移民，持续的信心 - 尽管有着低利率，wilson博士认为缓慢上涨的收入回给房价上涨踩刹车。“投资者很快会对悉尼房地产市场失去兴趣并开始在其它资产上投资。”
（悉尼地产）不再需要为控制房价上涨速度的，讨论中的”风险调控措施”。
他不同意McGrath Estate Agents首席执行官John McGrath提出的" 还有至少15%的涨幅本轮上升才会平稳下来"的观点 - 此观点基于缺乏供给 和本地及海外投资者的强烈需求。。
原文：
Australia's property prices will be "flat as a pancake" over the next decade, Domain Group senior economist Dr Andrew Wilson says.
The resources boom is over, the international economy "can't get its act together" and investors will soon start to lose interest. "Going forward we are going to have a much flatter housing market in terms of price," Dr Wilson said.
Even growth in the stand-out city, Sydney - up 3.8 per cent in the September quarter and 16.6 per cent in the past year - is moderating from the higher levels of last year.
Having the best economy in the nation, strong migration and continuing confidence meant the city was the star performer - but despite low interest rates, Dr Wilson believes slowing income growth was putting a brake on price growth. "Investors will become less interested in residential property in Sydney and start looking at other asset classes," he says.
There would no longer be any need for the regulatory controls being proposed to contain the investor splurge.
He doesn't agree with McGrath Estate Agents chief executive, John McGrath, who told Domain this week "there is probably 15 per cent or more growth before this cycle plateaus". Mr McGrath argues this could occur because of a lack of supply and continuing demand from local and overseas investors.
评论：
如果多方旗手，Dr Andrew Wilson说的是对的，地产价格会怎样？
另，请发现本帖提供了有价值信息的给加点分，争取早日穿皮鞋。
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决战SURREY HILLS之巅! 完整版 (2007-10-27) lss123 
发表于 2014-10-25 13:33
有见地。
