英镑点位分析

dingyipu

欢迎大家分享各自的分析，当然也欢迎加分捧场～

*$1.7230     Medium offers
*$1.7200     Strong offers/Option Barrier
*$1.7197     1.618% swing $1.7144-1.7059
*$1.7192     Jul15 high(68-mth high)
*$1.7168-77  61.8%-76.4% $1.7192-30
*$1.7154-61  38.2%-50% $1.7192-30
*$1.7145     Int.Day high Asia/23.6% $1.7192-30
*$1.7132    ***Current market rate 0544GMT Wednesday
*$1.7130     Int.Day low Asia
*$1.7130/25  Medium demand
*$1.7110-090 61.8%-76.4% $1.7059-1.7192
*$1.7059     Int.Day low Europe, Asia $1.7078
*$1.7055     Bids on approach/Decent sized Stops
*$1.7040/30  Strong demand/$1.7039 61.8% $1.6952-1.7180
*$1.7009-06  Jun30 low-76.4% $1.6952-1.7180

个人对GBP比较乐观。

Dailycfdindex

dingyipu

顶贴的同时也可以加分啊：P

CPI driven rally yesterday gave us a new, all be it marginal, high on the year. The sell off that ensued was due to overall stronger USD on Yellen. I expect GBP strength to continue and currently favour a split between cable and EURGBP. Jobs data today will be key. Keep an eye on earnings- the number that has slightly disappointed recently. Any sell off on a weaker labour force print should be faded.  

Resistance:  1.7200, 1.7250         0.7980, 0.8000      
Support:  1.7120, 1.7070          0.7885, 0.7850

dingyipu

Yesterday's elevated CPI print got the sterling bears excited again, with the pound making new highs for the year against both the euro and the dollar. Cable has since fallen back on a stronger dollar but EURGBP is languishing near its lows this morning. Yesterday's surprise turns the focus on to today's jobless and earnings data, with the latter possibly the more important as the market hunts for signs of a pick-up in UK inflation. Any such signs will certainly bring forward expectations of the first rate hike and therefore give sterling a further boost. Right now, I am short EUR GBP expecting 0.7940 to cap the cross.

dingyipu

不得不说空头太让我失望了...

dingyipu

Corporate bids continue to hold EURGBP above 0.79 – trailing a stop through 0.7990 the preferred course of action giving lack of defined levels below.

shdanding

dingyipu 发表于 2014-7-16 18:36
不得不说空头太让我失望了...

英镑以前没怎么关注，看了下图形，走的很强。。

Dailycfdindex

丁总，感谢奉献给大家你宝贵的时间和资源,现在经济不景气，交易清淡，你同时开这么多楼馆，想必一定有雄厚的资金pay rent，祝生意兴隆，前途无量,

dingyipu

Dailycfdindex 发表于 2014-7-16 19:00
丁总，感谢奉献给大家你宝贵的时间和资源,现在经济不景气，交易清淡，你同时开这么多楼馆，想必一定有雄厚 ...

哈哈，经济不景气就卖空AUD，只要不气馁，生意总会兴隆的：）

dingyipu

shdanding 发表于 2014-7-16 18:53
英镑以前没怎么关注，看了下图形，走的很强。。

恩，英镑也是最近波动比较大，类似于题材炒作...

林总的学生

Dailycfdindex 发表于 2014-7-16 19:00
丁总，感谢奉献给大家你宝贵的时间和资源,现在经济不景气，交易清淡，你同时开这么多楼馆，想必一定有雄厚 ...

看出来了，老丁财大气粗，想整个连锁啥的。

我等自叹弗如，

golden_w_jun

好专业，看不懂

dingyipu

有加分就更新，分越多更新越多：P

*$1.7200     Strong offers/Option Barrier
*$1.7197     1.618% swing $1.7144-1.7059
*$1.7192     Jul15 high(68-mth high)
*$1.7162-73  61.8%-76.4% $1.7192-13
*$1.7151     Int.Day high Europe, Asia $1.7145/$1.7152 50% $1.7192-13
*$1.7143     Level into UK jobs-earnings/38.2% $1.7192-13
*$1.7136     Recovery high off $1.7113 (76.4% $1.7151-13)  
*$1.7125    ***Current market rate 0921GMT Wednesday
*$1.7122     61.8% $1.7113-36 (76.4% $1.7118)
*$1.7113     Int.Day low Europe, Asia $1.7133
*$1.7110-090 61.8%-76.4% $1.7059-1.7192
*$1.7059     Jul15 low
*$1.7055     Bids on approach/Decent sized Stops
*$1.7040/30  Strong demand/$1.7039 61.8% $1.6952-1.7180
*$1.7009-06  Jun30 low-76.4% $1.6952-1.7180

dingyipu

The UK labour market data present an ever-greater dilemma for the MPC. Current rates of employment growth suggest conditions are tightening significantly faster than expected – wherever you think the NAIRU is, we are approaching it more quickly than expected. The increase in labour supply is not negligible – both as a result of demographic factors and inactivity continuing to fall (retired people returning to work and the number of people classified as long-term sick diminishing) – but supply continues to trail some way behind demand. Yet, headline wage inflation is barely positive in nominal terms, while CPI inflation hovers only a little below its 2% target.

dingyipu

GBPUSD: 强劲 交易量, 偏 53% 于 买盘 主要有 实盘基金 和 银行

Dailycfdindex

再次感谢丁总无私地奉献，我想每一位看客都会给你掌声鼓励,加分，普通人很难做到这一点 ,除了你，就是(我的小兄弟. 他经常开我, 我都躲着他) 版主，只是希望你把各种情报提炼一下，给大家一个好的指引，否则别人误会你是个"营销商".   (今天是我报仇的机会)

dingyipu

Dailycfdindex 发表于 2014-7-16 22:29
再次感谢丁总无私地奉献，我想每一位看客都会给你掌声鼓励,加分，普通人很难做到这一点 ,除了你，就是(我的 ...

哈哈，很好，我一直和我朋友说，记仇的人适合搞政治：）  

看阿宝这样子，我觉得在澳洲搞政治风险不大...其实发贴本来就是让大家看看，加不加分随便啦～我都说了是因为我今天高兴才发的...分...值钱吗？哈哈～

像其他论坛，有那种加分或者回复才能浏览。我喜欢足迹这样的，连搜索蜘蛛都不屏蔽的好网站。

关于营销商，是名字吧...真的营销的话，我要先卖我的Cake...

现在数据又出来一批，依然维持谨慎看多。

hongmei886

顶，关注

dingyipu

hongmei886 发表于 2014-7-17 07:36
顶，关注

谢谢加分：）

dingyipu

the jump from inflation numbers still very much supportive and new data came in reasonable well. Expect the uptrend   to continue above 1.72. No clear signs of stopping here yet. EURGBP target to 0.7750 ” firmly anchored” .

dingyipu

traded steady in Asia between 1.7134-42 with players here regarding yesterday‘s strong jobs and weak earnings
data as neutral. EUR/GBP consolidated losses yesterday to 0.7891 between 0.7892-96.0o1

dingyipu

高盛现在EURGBP止损位在0.7940，打算用移动止损争取最大获利，不设止赢点。

dingyipu

Corporates bids in EURGBP and buyers of EURUSD ahead of 1.35, keeps cable heavy and trading on the back foot for the time being. 1.7120/30 will house some short term rolled stops for those anticipating a break of the 1.7060 WTD lows and as a desk we are tactically small short cable here, with the tech set up suggesting a reversal is on the cards. Whilst the risk on/risk off argument with respect to developments in Russia/Ukraine sanctions and plane downing may weigh on GBPUSD, the market will be wary of re-selling another false break (1.7080 earlier in the week) ahead of BOE mins, retail sales and advance Q2 GDP reading next week.

dingyipu

Scope for Further Longs. Bullish. Watch: BoE Minutes, Retail Sales, GDP.

Though UK data has been mixed over recent weeks, with the latest wage data in particular disappointing, we believe any dips in GBP offer a buying opportunity. While the market is long GBP, positioning is not yet extreme, and we note that GBP did not react very strongly to the soft wage data, suggesting investors remain upbeat on the UK economy. Indeed, the upcoming BoE minutes should remind investors that a hike could come sooner than expected, supporting GBP.

dingyipu

Key USD data (CPI) and the outlook for GBP is tricky but sense on data differentiation dynamic GBP is still a buy on dips tactically. First support below Fridays lows of 1.7037 with a gap then to the 55dma at 1.6941, topside resistance back at 1.7120/40 area.

dingyipu

英镑/美元日内走势分析∶英镑/美元上周五自低点1.7037反弹，日图以一根看涨锤头线收盘，暗示汇价本周一可能进一步反弹。汇价自三周低位1.7037反弹同时也表明，日图上一个看涨的扩散三角形形态正在形成之中，若汇价上破1.7116、1.7130阻力将加强这一可能性，从而支持汇价进一步朝7月15日高点1.7190弹去。只有汇价再次下行跌破1.7037、威胁到1.70整数关，才有可能令看涨英镑的观点动摇。

英镑/美元周图趋势∶看涨。

Dailycfdindex

k线图是公开的，不是决密图纸，散户和机构看到的是同一张图纸，不同的是某机构那个看图纸的工作人员在看图纸上所花的时间比你多而己，当你花五--六年时间读k线图，你也能写看图后的工作回报. 但每人有自己分配时间的方法，我喜欢投机取巧，来读LZ的工作小结, LZ的 那些数字是在图纸上公开的，没有误导的成份.也不值得花钱去买，每个机构都提供免费看图报告,  GBP/USD在   1.7094--- 1.7035 横盘下压，将"威胁到 1.70整数关". 精彩，

dingyipu

dingyipu

GS：We are still flat here with key levels: first support at 1.6130 and then 1.6040. On the topside, resistance is at the 1.6225-30 region.

dingyipu

英镑/美元汇价亚市低开低走。利空因素来看美元看涨情绪，英央行将于2015年初加息预期的减弱。利多因素来自英镑/日元需求的增加，以及欧元/英镑的回落。 日内关注将于北京时间17：30公布的英国10月制造业PMI，预期为51.4。 从技术面来看，日图信号不一，MACD看涨，但随机指标处于看跌区域。支持位于上周五低位1.5941，阻力位于上周五高位1.6014。