欧元点位分析

dingyipu

dingyipu

Significant developments over the weekend out of Jackson Hole and ironically within a symposium regarding the US labour market held in the US, it was the ECB president, Mr Draghi, who caused the biggest move. From a trading stand  point we feel these developments over the weekend are very significant for the Single Currency and although it may not have the immediate impact  of his July 2012 ‘’Whatever it takes’’ moment, this nod towards a pre-commitment as inflation expectations fall, combined with the prevailing economic environment and increasing dichotomy between the major Central Banks, has greatly increased our bias towards a short Euro position – we have added to our shorts and will look to fade any move back towards 1.3230-40 level, with a stop back above 1.3280-90.

dingyipu

高盛今天看空EURUSD，止损在1.3280，目标位在1.3150。

dingyipu

*$1.3220-40 Macro offers/Interest to fade here ($1.3222 Aug28 high)
*$1.3200 Offers on approach/$1.3196 Aug29 high
*$1.3180/85 Market stops
*$1.3168/70 50% of $1.3220-1.3115/Market stops
*$1.3159 Prev hourly support now resistance
*$1.3150 Medium offers/$1.3145 Sep1 high
*$1.3133/40 Intraday high/Market stops
*$1.3123 ***Current mkt rate 0533GMT Tuesday
*$1.3115 Demand building/Intraday low
*$1.3110-00 Strong demand/$1.3105 Sep6 2013 low/$1.3100 Barrier/Stops
*$1.3080 Medium demand
*$1.3050 Demand on approach/Barrier/Stops
*$1.3041 Falling daily channel base May-Aug
*$1.3020 Strong demand/Stops
*$1.3000 Demand on approach/Barrier/Stops

dingyipu

今日期权到期：

EUR/USD: 1.3100 (2BLN), 1.3120 (480M), 1.3170 (750M), 1.3200 (503M)
EUR/GBP: 0.7945 (175M), 0.7975 (200M), 0.8000 (180M)

dingyipu

EUR/USD: 1.2940 (100M), 1.3000 (164M), 1.3100 (1.02BLN)
EUR/GBP: 0.7950 (299M).

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摩根斯坦利：

Currency    Pos    Entry    Target     Stop

EURUSD    Sell    1.3040    1.2500    1.3140

dingyipu

今日期权到期：

* EUR/GBP: stg0.7750(E660mn), stg0.7800-05(E510mn), stg0.7850(E405mn), stg0.7900(E650mn), stg0.7950(E400mn)

瑞士信贷：EURUSD: 看平, 再次卖出 在 1.3110, 止损 高于 1.3180 目标 1.2790.

dingyipu

摩根士坦利：

Currency    Pos    Entry    Target     Stop
EURUSD    Short    1.2900    1.2500    1.2950

dingyipu

巴克莱经济学家称 ,一切都处于促使美联储在2015年开始加息的轨道上。他表示 ,随著美国经济复苏 ,美联储将会在明年6月份加息 ,也可能是3月份。他认为，从全球范围看唯一表现稳健的经济就是美国经济。在这种情况下 ,最大的问题将是欧洲央行如何回应。出于上述考虑 ,巴克莱建议投资者建立欧元/美元的空头头寸。

dingyipu

今日期权到期：

* EUR/USD: $1.2695(E512mn), $1.2730(E204mn), $1.2750(E3.04bn),$1.2800/05(E650mn)

瑞士信贷：

EURUSD: 做空, 止损 高于 1.2816, 目标 1.2662.

dingyipu

dingyipu

1.25看起来是个非常脆弱的支撑位。卖盘依然很多。

Jack1688

dingyipu 发表于 2014-10-4 07:54
1.25看起来是个非常脆弱的支撑位。卖盘依然很多。

ECB Draghi had no smile face on Thursday conference. No policy change, Good nfp data,  so, Euro may drop more.

But, on daily chart, euro downside momentum indicator show flat, no new high even price drop.

Price level,  1.244x was  a buying level in 2012.  1.2325 is 200 weekly BB level on which euro bounced up twice in 2010 and 2012, now in 2014, this is a quite good cycle low if cycle theory works. 1.2100 is big triangle support line. All are worth for watching for bull camp fight back when US office complain too higher for US dollar.

In long-term view,  euro and usd are in range bounce. Both got huge problem. War against Russia is bad for both. US office won't  be happy to see euro devalue below US dollar too much, the currency war is still in place.

dingyipu

GS：We have cut our position from yesterday. Levels to watch for the session: first support zone at 1.2730 (yesterday’s lows) then 1.27, with resistance at 1.2840-45.

dingyipu

JP Morgan：

This time yesterday EUR was trading in the 1.2730s and a test of 1.2700 looked very much on the cards. A day later we are a big figure higher and looking at last week’s highs. So, the range that has been in place following last Wednesday’s blowout is holding and it makes sense to trade those parameters for now. A break of 1.2700 or 1.2900 would alter the picture but for now, trading the range with those levels as your stops makes a great deal of sense. Liquidity remains challenging and is contributing to the whippy price action but sit back a little and we are in classic consolidation mode. I will look to sell 1.2850/65 today with a stop above 1.2900, expecting the overall trend lower to resume once this consolidation phase is out of the way.

dingyipu

Off 0.2% early on broad based USD strength led by JPY & AUD
Conflicting EZ data Friday 1.2500 353M, 1.2550 500M - option maturities may contain
Tomorrow 3BLN of 1.2500's a magnet - little support until 2012 1.2040 low
5, 10 & 20 daily & weekly ma's trend south - Fri's 1.2484 low first sup.

dingyipu

Dailycfdindex

关注。

dingyipu

Dailycfdindex 发表于 2015-4-25 18:08
关注。

我都好久没更新了。你有什么新看法没？

Dailycfdindex

dingyipu 发表于 2015-4-25 18:30
我都好久没更新了。你有什么新看法没？

我认为 本月底完成月图区间的下线,现在已经可以在月图LOW附近开工玩区间了。但有时基本面会困扰自信心。

Dailycfdindex

欧元试探突破区间(  1。06698-- 1。08438)。上面是 1。10835。

dingyipu

Dailycfdindex 发表于 2015-4-26 15:14
欧元试探突破区间(  1。06698-- 1。08438)。上面是 1。10835。

同意短期内不会有大突破。

Dailycfdindex

在唱衰声中成长。目标1。20992。但破月底就改变方向。

Dailycfdindex

欧元正在走1。08438----1。10835区间, 由于路程必较远,走一半恐会休息一下。

Dailycfdindex

欧元站在区间中心看美虎行动。

Dailycfdindex

欧元走月图, 现在才走到1。10835-------1。12772的区间。昨天达到这个区间的中心。

Dailycfdindex

欧元走得这么快,又完成了一个区间,这次不报上面一个区间,看是不是来个回调。

Dailycfdindex

LZ, 打扰,谢谢,再见。

dingyipu

1.1340将触发BNP的止损盘