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楼主:diosma

[行情讨论] 打算买投资房的请慎重!!!!摩根斯丹利预测:Melbourne房地场市场的两年之痛,前景不容乐观 [复制链接]

发表于 2012-7-31 23:00 |显示全部楼层
此文章由 kvwb 原创或转贴,不代表本站立场和观点,版权归 oursteps.com.au 和作者 kvwb 所有!转贴必须注明作者、出处和本声明,并保持内容完整
哥哥想起05-06多少预测墨尔本市场2015年前不会再涨的专家冒出来

又有多少人GLEN WAVERLEY 房子40万都嫌贵,07年直接追70万;

CLAYTON当年35万的房子大把,07年直接追60万;

BRIGHTON大把1-1.1M的,现在都在1.6-1.8M

呵呵,专家
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发表于 2012-7-31 23:05 |显示全部楼层
此文章由 sunflowerseed 原创或转贴,不代表本站立场和观点,版权归 oursteps.com.au 和作者 sunflowerseed 所有!转贴必须注明作者、出处和本声明,并保持内容完整
原帖由 kvwb 于 2012-7-31 22:35 发表
仔细看了一遍,直接可以IGNORE,

预测还要跌28%,也就是45万的跌回30万左右,除非租金也跌

否则2-3年后,墨尔本的公寓和外郊区HOUSE全会变成正现金流

一旦变成正现金流,3个月之内有长回30%以上,等于什么都没说

一直纳闷日本的房子是不是都是正现金流。

发表于 2012-8-1 10:12 |显示全部楼层
此文章由 LENNY_DONG 原创或转贴,不代表本站立场和观点,版权归 oursteps.com.au 和作者 LENNY_DONG 所有!转贴必须注明作者、出处和本声明,并保持内容完整
原帖由 kvwb 于 2012-7-31 23:00 发表
哥哥想起05-06多少预测墨尔本市场2015年前不会再涨的专家冒出来

又有多少人GLEN WAVERLEY 房子40万都嫌贵,07年直接追70万;

CLAYTON当年35万的房子大把,07年直接追60万;

BRIGHTON大把1-1.1M的,现在都在1.6-1.8M

呵呵,专家

I AGREE WITH YOUR POINT

BUT SINCE HIGH DOLLAR AND LOW RENTAL RETURN IN MEL

HOUSE WOULD NOT RISE SOON PLUS RISING UNEMPLOYMENT

I THINK VALUE OF HOUSE WILL STABLE IN TWO YEARS
CPA&TAX AGENT

发表于 2012-8-5 03:42 |显示全部楼层

这个出版商是唱衰房市的,因为他们是主攻股票的。

此文章由 mercer80 原创或转贴,不代表本站立场和观点,版权归 oursteps.com.au 和作者 mercer80 所有!转贴必须注明作者、出处和本声明,并保持内容完整
This is coming from Phillip publishing's e-magzine Money Morning in St Kilda Melbourne. Some history below.

I have been their subscriber since 2008. This finacial consulting company is mainly selling their subscribe for small cap shares, mainly in minng stocks.(20-90 cents range). In 2009 and 2010, they did predict the Mel property market will lose the ground for around 20 % which is pretty accurate after two years.

However, I think this is just their business strategy, sending you the information everyday which is quite different to the main stream media regarding the economy and property markt. So that they can catch your eye ball to keep reading their story, their purpose is to get you to subscribe their month report for their recommendation of  their small cap stocks. I did the subscribe once for $300 dollars per year. To be honestly, not bad and I did profit a little bit based on their information.

So what they said, don't be too serious! Every day they try to short property or China economy  in order to inspire their readers' desire for the story.

I think the propery  maket  will be just flat for next couple years.  Don't expect some further decline. so if you don't have much money and will pay quite lot of interest on property, I suggst you can just rent for 1 or 2 years.  
But remember in next 10 year, for investment property, Rental yield is First. Then Tax benefit, the last is capital Growth. 欢迎不同意见
hope it helps.

发表于 2012-8-5 12:40 |显示全部楼层
此文章由 training 原创或转贴,不代表本站立场和观点,版权归 oursteps.com.au 和作者 training 所有!转贴必须注明作者、出处和本声明,并保持内容完整
原帖由 北风 于 2012-7-24 17:07 发表
这专家真厉害
我一年半以前就说了这话了

请问您对今年的房事如何看?

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